Monday Night Football Picks 12/16: Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction

Monday Night Football Picks 12/16: Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction article feature image
Credit:

Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images. Pictured: Montez Sweat

Monday Night Football features two games this week, and our PRO Systems have something juicy cooked up for our first battle between the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings.

After a strong 4-2 start to the season, the Bears seemed like they had everything figured out —until they didn't. Since their Week 7 bye, the Bears have lost seven straight, including an overtime loss to this week's opponent, Minnesota.

The Vikings, wielding an 11-2 record, are second in a stacked NFC North. They've won six straight and are fresh off a 42-21 victory against Atlanta.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on ABC. Let's check out a pick from our proprietary betting models.


Bears vs. Vikings Pick 12/16

Our PRO Systems have singled out a team to fade in tonight's MNF duel.

Our 'Fade Covering Teams' model has succeeded at a 55.8% rate, showing the perfect spot to bet against certain teams.

In Week 5 and beyond, teams covering the spread by more than 5 ppg, versus teams with 0-60% win percentages, only cover 44.2% of the time —that's bad news for the Vikings, who fit the model as the team to fade.

NFL Icon
Fade Covering Teams (PRO)
the game is played during the Regular season
the opposing team's win percentage is between 0% and 60%
the week number or round is 5 or 6 or 7 or 8 or 9 or 10 or 11 or 12 or 13 or 14 or 15 or 16 or 17
the team's average cover margin is between 5 and 100
$5,402
WON
391-310-20
RECORD
56%
WIN%

The Vikings have been one of the more popular fades for this model and they are listed as 7-point favorites in most books. Based on the trends, PRO Systems suggests targeting the Bears ATS for Monday night's game.

PRO Projections Pick: Bears Against The Spread


Action PRO Upsell Image
Premium picks, tools & analysis
Real money percentages
Top prop & TD edges
Real-time expert pick alerts
About the Author
Greg is a native of Long Island, NY and a Hofstra Alum. He's a writer for Action Network who focuses mainly on the NHL and college football. When he's not outside with his dog, Kiki, you can find him yelling at the TV if his New York Islanders aren't getting the job done.

Follow Greg Liodice @Gregasus14 on Twitter/X.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.