NFL TD Picks: Long Shot Bets for Week 5

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George Kittle #85 of the San Francisco 49ers and Kyle Juszczyk #44 of the San Francisco 49ers (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

Expert PRO Projections reveal an intriguing pattern on NFL TD picks for Week 5.

This week, the focus shifts to long shot bets, as several players offer significant value according to proprietary projections driven by NFL expert Sean Koerner, Nick Giffen and the Action Analytics Team.

While we'll cover the top touchdown scorers separately, this article exclusively highlights these long-shot bets; prices are only around for so long, so subscribers, head on over to PRO Props to get the full scope.

In particular, three standout picks come in at odds of +600 or better, spanning both early and afternoon games such as Panthers vs. Bears, and Cardinals vs. 49ers.


NFL TD Picks: Long Shot Bets for Week 5

Using PRO Projections, our experts recommend placing bets with a minimum 3.5% edge. Notably, choices with payouts of +600, +800, and +1500 are above the threshold.

Here's a closer look at these high-value NFL Week 5 touchdown picks, starting with the most lucrative 15/1 payout.

NFL TD Pick for Panthers vs. Bears

Our first long-shot bet of NFL Week 5 is Carolina Panthers