Our NFL Luck Rankings can be used to bet on unlucky teams that meet one of three criteria:
- A difference of at least 24 places in our weekly NFL Luck Rankings (Luck Difference).
- A Luck% difference (Luck Gap) of at least 50% between two opposing teams at any point in the season.
- A Luck% difference (Luck Gap) of at least 30% between two opposing teams in Week 13 or later.
Unlucky teams meeting at least one of these three criteria are 128-78-6 (61.8%) against the spread (ATS) in regular-season games other than the last week of the season when using closing lines, which are the hardest to beat.
In Week 16, there were no sides, which leaves them at 15-17-1 (47%) ATS on the season.
There were two Luck Totals in Week 16 — one Luck Under that stayed under its closing total, moving Luck Unders to 13-10-0 on the season, and one Luck Over that went over. That moves Luck Overs to 6-0-0 this year. As a whole, Luck Totals are 19-10-0 (65.5%) this season.
As a reminder, here are the criteria for Luck Totals:
- A Luck Total above +10 after Week 3.
- A Luck Total above +5 after Week 11.
- A Luck Total below -5 after Week 2.
Sides and totals meeting any Luck Ranking criteria are 34-27-1 (55.6%) on the season.
For NFL Week 17, there are two sides, and four luck-based totals. Let's take a look.
