San Francisco 49ers vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction, Picks, Odds for NFL Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs. Miami Dolphins Prediction, Picks, Odds for NFL Week 16 article feature image
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Action Network/Getty Images. Pictured: Brock Purdy (left) and Tua Tagovailloa.

The San Francisco 49ers (6-8) and Miami Dolphins (6-8) will face off in NFL Week 16. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. The game will be broadcast live on CBS and can be streamed on Paramount+.

The Dolphins are favored by 1 point over the 49ers with the game total set at 44.5 points scored. The Dolphins are -120 favorites to win outright, while the 49ers are +100 to pull off the upset.

The 49ers remain in playoff contention despite losing last week to the Rams. Brock Purdy was uninspiring, going 14-for-31 through the air for 142 yards and an interception. The Dolphins, also not yet eliminated from the playoffs, are coming off a loss as well, dropping their last contest to the Texans. Miami has a number of key players dealing with injuries, notably Tua Tagovailoa, Jaylen Waddle and Terron Armstead.

Let's get into my Dolphins vs 49ers predictions and NFL picks.


49ers vs. Dolphins Odds, Pick, Prediction

49ers Logo
Sunday, Dec. 22, 2024
4:25 p.m. ET
CBS
Dolphins Logo
49ers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1
-115
44.5
-110o / -110u
-110
Dolphins Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1
-105
44.5
-110o / -110u
-110
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • 49ers vs. Dolphins spread: Dolphins -1
  • 49ers vs. Dolphins over/under: 44.5 points scored
  • 49ers vs. Dolphins moneyline: Dolphins -110, 49ers -110
  • 49ers vs. Dolphins best bet: 49ers +1.5

My49ers vs. Dolphins best bet is on the 49ers to cover the spread, with the best odds currently available at FanDuel. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.


Spread

In this game featuring two of the more disappointing teams in the NFL, I like the 49ers to cover.

Moneyline

While I like the 49ers on the spread, I will be passing the moneyline.

Over/Under

I also have no pick for the game total.

My Pick: 49ers +1.5

49ers vs. Dolphins NFL Week 16 Preview

The 49ers are in the midst of a season from hell, but in this spot, I'm taking them at +1.5.

When you look at the 49ers and some of the issues they've dealt with, a lot of them can be pointed toward one specific thing — injuries.

Christian McCaffrey missed most of the season and was ineffective in the few games he played, Brock Purdy dealt with a shoulder issue, Brandon Aiyuk was lost early in the season, Nick Bosa's been dealing with hip and oblique injuries, Trent Williams has been dealing with an ankle. It goes on and on for San Francisco on the injury front.

San Francisco's also played in a few bad-weather games.

Over its last four contests, you had a weather game against the Rams and another weather game against the Bills — the 49ers were blown out in both of those. Then there was a game against the Packers that featured both weather and backup quarterback Brandon Allen. Before that stretch, they were also just blowing close games that featured some bad luck.

I have the 49ers power rated ahead of the Dolphins by a couple of points.

Miami is now getting to the point where its injuries are adding up while San Francisco is getting a little bit healthier. The 49ers are still is missing some key guys, but it's not great on the Dolphins side.

Like, is Terron Armstead playing again this season? Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are also dealing with ailments.

Opposing defenses seem to have figured out the Dolphins. I think the Texans' game plan against Miami last week is something you're going to see a lot more of.

There's just something off with the Dolphins. They lack explosiveness on offense despite all the speed they possess. They also just struggle against quality competition.

The 49ers have not been good this year, at least not by record. But you look at the Dolphins and they don't exactly have an impressive resumé.

They've defeated the Raiders, the Jets in overtime (probably should have lost) and the Patriots twice. They beat the Jaguars in their first game of the season by three points. Outside of a victory against the Rams when they were 2-6 and the season was on the line, the Dolphins have no good wins. Not only that, four of their six wins have come in one-possession games.

On defense, the Dolphins have been just as disappointing. There's talent there with players like Jalen Ramsey, but guys are just wide open for the other team more times than not.

I'll take the San Francisco team that's getting healthier on defense and knows how to scheme against Tua Tagovailoa with a banged-up Jaylen Waddle, who might not even play, and a Miami team that has largely disappointed beyond the win over the Rams.

Weather shouldn't be a factor in this one with the forecast calling for minimal winds in 70-degree weather.

My Pick: 49ers +1.5


Dolphins vs 49ers Betting Trends

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About the Author
Chris Raybon is a senior betting analyst at the Action Network, specializing in NFL, NBA, and fantasy football betting. He hosts The Action Network Podcast, with profitable NFL ATS picks every season, and the Fantasy Flex Podcast, while regularly appearing on NBA TV’s NBA BET and Turner Sports’ The Line. With over 15 years of betting experience, Chris boasts a 57% all-time winning percentage on NFL bets and top-5 finishes in FantasyPros accuracy rankings.

Follow Chris Raybon @ChrisRaybon on Twitter/X.

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