Game 5 of the WNBA Semifinals tips off on Tuesday at 8 PM ET, as the Minnesota Lynx take on the Connecticut Sun for a win-or-go-home matchup. The game is in Minnesota, with the Lynx being favored by four points, and the total is set at 151.5 — where it has been all series.
Attacking the prop market in a winner-take-all game is a better place to bet than in-game action because the game numbers have reached consensus through the four previous matches, and now the players who shine or dim in the big lights will be the deciding factor.
Check out my Sun vs Lynx player prop predictions below.
Napheesa Collier Rebounds Prop
Over 9.5 Rebounds (+105)
I am unsure if she even checks out during this game. Napheesa Collier will give her team all she can handle as eliminations or her first finals appearance hangs in the balance.
Her scoring prop is at a series high 21.5, and I do not want to fade her production in a key game, so I look to back her in the rebounds prop. The Lynx also space five out, so she gets a few more rebound opportunities, not having a center under the basket most of the time.
Kayla McBride, Bridget Carleton, and DeWanna Bonner Props
McBride (+148), Carleton (+132) Over 2.5 3s; Bonner Over 1.5 3s (+100)
Kayla McBride, DeWanna Bonner, and Bridget Carleton all have plus-odds on their prop line of 2.5 for both Lynx players and 1.5 for Bonner. I see a lot of value in playing any or all of them.
The rotations are going to tighten and these players will all be asked to be floor spacers to create room for the offense. The coaches will highly encourage them to shoot any good shot, and these are some of the league's best shooters.
If 3-point attempts go up, and minutes for stars go up, then taking all of them at plus money and hoping to go 2/3 is a sharp approach.
