The regular season is over, but fantasy football doesn't have to be.
Roster construction is trickier in the playoffs — you have to factor in the fact that elite fantasy options like [insert name of Chiefs player] are guaranteed to miss one of the four weeks, but have higher chances of actually reaching the Super Bowl. So, with these tough decisions in mind, I've outlined my playoff rankings into tiers for each position below.
I've also used my player projections to simulate the playoffs 10,000 times and calculate their floor, median and ceiling projections:
- Floor = 80% chance a player clears that number
- Median = 50% chance a player clears that number
- Ceiling = 20% chance player clears that number
These floor vs. median vs. ceiling projections factor in how many rounds their teams could play — so, for quarterbacks, Josh Allen has a higher "ceiling" projection than Patrick Mahomes because the Bills are playing in the Wild Card Round (while the Chiefs have a bye) and thus the max amount of games Allen could play is four while the max amount Mahomes could play is three.
Now, let's get to my projections (and tiers!) for each position.
Note: All projections are as of Jan. 6 and based on half-PPR scoring.
Playoff Fantasy Rankings
Fantasy QB Projections
Fantasy QB Tiers
Josh Allen | |
Drew Brees Tom Brady | |
Ben Roethlisberger | |
Philip Rivers Mitchell Trubisky | |
John Wolford Alex Smith | |
Fantasy RB Projections
Fantasy RB Tiers
Ronald Jones II Derrick Henry Clyde Edwards-Helaire Chris Carson | |
James Conner J.K. Dobbins | |
Devin Singletary David Montgomery Leonard Fournette Cam Akers Latavius Murray Nick Chubb | |
Antonio Gibson Le'Veon Bell | |
Nyheim Hines Kareem Hunt J.D. McKissic Benny Snell Darrell Williams | |
Malcolm Brown Carlos Hyde Patrick Ricard Rashaad Penny | |
Ke'Shawn Vaughn Jeremy McNichols Darrynton Evans Jordan Wilkins Khari Blasingame Artavis Pierce Andy Janovich Ryan Nall |
Fantasy WR Projections
Fantasy WR Tiers
Davante Adams | |
Michael Thomas | |
Chris Godwin Mike Evans Antonio Brown Diontae Johnson Emmanuel Sanders Tyler Lockett | |
Juju Smith-Schuster Cole Beasley* Chase Claypool John Brown Marquise Brown A.J. Brown Allen Lazard Sammy Watkins | |
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Mecole Hardman Allen Robinson | |
Marquez Callaway Jarvis Landry T.Y. Hilton Terry McLaurin Cooper Kupp Demarcus Robinson Rashard Higgins | |
Willie Snead Zach Pascal Gabriel Davis* Darnell Mooney Cam Sims David Moore Scott Miller James Washington Miles Boykin Josh Reynolds Isaiah McKenzie Donovan Peoples-Jones | |
Anthony Miller Steven Sims Equanimeous St. Brown Freddie Swain Cameron Batson Cordarrelle Patterson Van Jefferson Devin Duvernay Javon Wims | |
Tyler Johnson Ashton Dulin Ray-Ray McCloud Lil'Jordan Humphrey Isaiah Wright Dontrelle Inman Nick Westbrook-Ikhine |
*If Beasley is ruled out for Wild Card Weekend, he would fall toward bottom of Tier 6 while Gabriel Davis would rise toward top of Tier 6.
Fantasy TE Projections
Fantasy TE Tiers
Rob Gronkowski Jared Cook | |
Dawson Knox | |
Jonnu Smith Cameron Brate Austin Hooper Jacob Hollister Cole Kmet | |
Tyler Higbee Gerald Everett Jack Doyle Will Dissly Trey Burton | |
Harrison Bryant Anthony Firkser Jimmy Graham David Njoku Lee Smith | |
Josh Hill Geoff Swaim Garrett Griffin Jace Sternberger Marcedes Lewis Vance McDonald |
Fantasy K Projections
Fantasy K Tiers
Ryan Succop Harrison Butker | |
Justin Tucker Matthew Wright Jason Myers | |
Rodrigo Blankenship Matt Gay Cairo Santos Cody Parkey Dustin Hopkins |
Fantasy DEF Projections
Fantasy DEF Tiers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | |
Pittsburgh Steelers Seattle Seahawks | |
Baltimore Ravens Green Bay Packers | |
Cleveland Browns Tennessee Titans Washington Football Team Indianapolis Colts | |
