Mets vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 2, 2024
Mets at Brewers
11:38 pm • ESPNStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 2.46 | 0-0 | |
 |  | 4.74 | 2-1 |
Mets at Brewers Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mets 2-1 | -1.5 | +1.5-198 | o7.5-116 | +112 |
Brewers 1-2 | u7 | -1.5+164 | u7.5-104 | -132 |
American Family FieldMilwaukee
Mets vs. Brewers Expert Picks
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 86-106-0 (-30.3u)
Under 7.5 (Live)-110
1.65u
SpenceBets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NYM o3.5 Team Total-117
1.25u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 86-106-0 (-30.3u)
NYM +0.5 (F5)-140
1u
Under 4 (F5)+120
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 409-575-16 (+4.8u)
Over 4.5 (F5)+112
1.12u
#ProSystem
Overs with wind postseason (F5)
Overall: 154-87-7,64% (ROI:25%)
Season:1-2-0,33% (ROI:-44%)
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 117-123-7 (+46.1u)
NYM +100 (F5)
1u
NYM o3.5 Team Total-122
1.22u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 409-575-16 (+4.8u)
NYM +110
1u
#ProSystem
Fade the public in playoffs
Overall: 163-123-0,57% (ROI:26%)
Season:3-0-0,100% (ROI:133%)
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 55-57-2 (-9.9u)
MIL -125
1.6u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 145-157-5 (+21.5u)
MIL -130 (F5)
1u
Shop lines. Bovada most juiced one
Capper Central
Last 30d: 122-84-12 (+32.1u)
MIL -118
$847.46
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 93-120-3 (-6.4u)
Over 3.5 (F5)-166
0.6u
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Last 30d: 18-12-0 (+2.1u)
MIL -120
0.42u
F.Montas o4.5 Ks-132
0.5u
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 194-202-2 (-6.2u)
NYM +100
1u
W.Contreras o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105
1u
F.Lindor o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-135
1u
Mark Franco
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 7.5-115
1u
SpenceBets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
W.Contreras o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105
1.05u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 112-116-1 (-1.6u)
NYM o3.5 Team Total-120
1.2u
SpenceBets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
F.Lindor o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-135
1.5u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 97-74-3 (+18.9u)
MIL -110
0.91u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
The Brewers are in a strong position with improved pitching and offense. Sean Manaea’s struggles with runners on base align with Milwaukee’s aggressive base running, having gone 16-for-16 in steals against the Mets. Offensively, the Brewers excel against left-handed pitching, hitting .253 overall. Montas, since his trade, has been dominant, with a 3.74 xFIP and 14.05 K/9 in September.
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 58-47-0 (+5.9u)
Under 7.5-105
1.05u
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 90-119-6 (-15.1u)
NYM -102
1.02u
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 65-61-7 (-1.9u)
NYM -102
1.02u
Sura
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 86-106-0 (-30.3u)
NYM -101
2.02u
Billy Ward
Last 30d: 37-46-0 (-5.7u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130
1.3u
Draftkings
Lines at Lunch
Last 30d: 65-61-7 (-1.9u)
NYM -102
1.02u
Avery
NYM -105
1.05u
Johnny
MIL -114
1u
Sandy
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 111-127-15 (-7.2u)
MIL -114
1u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 209-223-6 (-0.9u)
NYM -102
1.02u
Under 7.5-105
1.05u
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 128-82-3 (+71.6u)
MIL -110
0.91u
All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found in the MoneylineSharps Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/zkcR4EnvbW
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 100-112-3 (-10.4u)
F.Montas o1.5 BB-125
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
S.Manaea o1.5 BB-146
1.46u
Manaea’s strike rate (63%) plummets and walk rate (10%) jumps up on the road. He’s walked 2+ batters in 11/16 road starts. MIL is one of the more patient teams - 2nd lowest chase rate, and a 10.3% BB% vs lefties since AUG 1. With the Mets leading 1-0, and the bullpen still overused of late, I do expect Manaea to have a decent leash.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 409-575-16 (+4.8u)
Under 7.5-115
1u
#ProSystem
High scoring teams postseason
Overall: 71-25-4,74% (ROI:42%)
Season:1-1-0,50% (ROI:-8%)
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 174-181-19 (-0.5u)
MIL -108
0.5u
Assuming Montas + Pen. Bet to -115
PRO Insights
Mets
NYM Insights
- Featured InsightMets have a strikeout rate of 33% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Brewers left-handed hitters have struck out 28% against RHP over the last two weeks -- tied for fifth highest in MLB.
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Brewers
MIL Insights
- Featured InsightThe Brewers have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- lowest in MLB (213 games). The Mets have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- third lowest in MLB (200 games).
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Mets vs. Brewers Previews & Analysis
Mets vs. Brewers Notes
Keys to the Game
The Brewers are 36-27 (.571) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Matchup Contrasts
Willy Adames is batting just .234 since last season -- tied for 10th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .212 (171-for-806) against Sean Manaea since last season -- 15th best among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- 90th Percentile.
Rhys Hoskins has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- tied for sixth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 39% this season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (71/230) against Frankie Montas since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- first Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed an OPS of 1.080 (58 PA's) in his last three starts -- 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .639 -- second Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Mets vs. Brewers Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Brewers vs. Mets Injury Updates
Brewers Injuries
- Brandon WoodruffP
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
- Blake PerkinsOF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
- Tobias MyersP
Myers is out with oblique
Out
- Aaron AshbyP
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
- Robert GasserP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out
Mets Injuries
- Frankie MontasP
Montas is out with back
Out
- Sean ManaeaP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
- Paul BlackburnP
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
- Jose SiriOF
Siri is out with leg
Out
- Jeff McNeilIF
McNeil is out with oblique
Out
- Nick MadrigalIF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
- Francisco AlvarezC
Alvarez is out with hand
Out
- Ronny MauricioIF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
- Christian ScottP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Mets vs. Brewers Box Score
Mets Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 86 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |
 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Brewers Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 60 | 3.2 | 3 | 1 | |
 | 22 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 7 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 12 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Mets vs. Brewers Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Mets at Brewers Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Mets 2-1 | o3.5-120 | u3.5-110 |
Brewers 1-2 | o3.5-135 | u3.5+105 |