Phillies vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - October 8, 2024

Phillies at Mets

9:08 pm • Fox Sports 1

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

2 - 7

New York Mets

3-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Manaea			4.74	2-1
A.Nola			7.20	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5	-1.5+154	o7+100	-112
Mets 3-1	u7	+1.5-185	u7-120	-106

Tuesday 9:08 p.m.

October 08, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

PHI +180 (Live)

0.5u

Go Phillies

Under 7.5 (Live)-110

NYM -102

A.Nola u5.5 Ks-110

@oddsjam

A.Hays u0.5 Hits+120

1.2u

I know he crushes lefties - but getting this line at plus odds for someone who will be PH for after 1-2 PAs (he won’t face a righty reliever, Marsh or Clemens would PH) is ideal value. His ABs off Manaea were back in 2021 - and he’s only 9/41 since coming off the IL.

Over 7-115

PHI -110 (F5)

0.5u

MGM

A.Nola o5.5 Ks-105

0.48u

MGM

S.Manaea u5.5 Ks-115

0.5u

Under 7-115

NYM -110

1.82u

Bobby

Over 3.5 (F5)-125

#ProSystem Overs with wind postseason (F5) Overall: 115-61-6,65% (ROI:29%) Season:4-3-0,57% (ROI:5%)

J.Winker u0.5 Hits-110

0.5u

@charliedisturco

J.Rojas u0.5 Hits-120

0.42u

@charliedisturco

Under 7+100

@BJCunningham

Over 7+100

1.5u

Under 7-112

1.12u

Under 3.5 (F5)-105

0.95u

Under 7-110

2.2u

Over 7-105

0.95u

PHI u3.5 Team Total-120

NYM o3.5 Team Total+115

0.58u

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+375

1.13u

NYM o3.5 Team Total+115

1.15u

Under 7.5-115

1.15u

NYM -105

NYM -101

NYM -103

S.Manaea u5.5 Ks-119

1.19u

Johnny

A.Nola o16.5 Outs-125

1.25u

Johnny

NYM -108

0.93u

Over 6.5-166

0.3u

B.Harper o0.5 RBI+215

2.15u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/zkcR4EnvbW

NYM -108

1.39u

All Free analysis & VIP Picks can be found our Discord. Link: https://discord.gg/zkcR4EnvbW

PHI -110

NYM -105

N.Castellanos o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.83u

Over 7-115

1.3u

Under 7.5-110

0.83u

Bet to 7 (-105)

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card
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Our 9-1 SGP for Mets vs. Phillies Game 3
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See more MLB Coverage

The Mets are 31-24 (.564) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 28% of PA's this season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 39% this season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Pete Alonso is batting just .193 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- tied for seventh worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since last season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 129 total CB-- 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .187 (48-for-257) against Sean Manaea when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 -- 94th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (412/1,178) when he's behind in the count since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 97th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (1,136/2,351) against right-handed batters this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 28% -- 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (541/1,677) when he's behind in the count since the 2022 season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	7-6	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Phillies	1-3	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 6th	@PHI	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PHI +120
Oct 5th	@PHI	W 6-2	+1.5 W	O 7	NYM +155
Oct 3rd	@MIL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	NYM +105
Oct 2nd	@MIL	L 3-5	+1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL +112
Oct 1st	@MIL	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM +124

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
OF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Jeff McNeil
IF
McNeil is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Francisco Alvarez
C
Alvarez is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ranger Suarez
P
Suarez is out with back
Out
Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	86	5	8	4
RO.Kerkering, P	10	1	0	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	22	0.2	1	2
RJ.Ruiz, P	2	0.1	0	0
RC.Estevez, P	26	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-2	1	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-3	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-4	0	1
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	1
5A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	0-3	0	0
7A.Hays, LF	0-3	0	0
7B.Stott, PH	0-1	0	0
8E.Sosa, 2B	1-2	1	0
8K.Clemens, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-2	0	0
9W.Wilson, PH	0-0	0	0
9B.Marsh, PH	0-1	0	0
9B.Marsh, CF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	91	7	6	1
RP.Maton, P	23	0.2	1	1
RR.Stanek, P	13	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-5	0	0	1
2M.Vientos, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
2H.Bader, PR	0-1	1	0	0
2H.Bader, CF	0-1	1	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	0-2	2	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-2	2	1	1
5J.Iglesias, 2B	2-4	0	0	2
5J.Iglesias, 3B	2-4	0	0	2
6J.Winker, DH	1-3	1	1	1
6J.Martinez, PH	0-0	1	0	0
6J.Martinez, DH	0-0	1	0	0
7S.Marte, RF	1-3	0	0	2
7L.Acuna, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	1-4	0	0	0