Giants vs Cubs Odds
| Giants Odds | -110 |
| Cubs Odds | -110 |
| Over/Under | 9 (-115/-105) |
| Time | 8:08 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
| Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. | |
The Cubs host the Giants in the final game of a three-game set tonight. Each team has won a game in this series, providing an entertaining rubber match on ESPN for Sunday Night Baseball.
Below, I will walk through a few picks we will parlay together for a higher payout. When creating a “same-game parlay,” my approach is all or nothing.
While that statement is sort of like “the sky is blue,” let me explain. It’s essential that we find plays that have a strong correlation with each other, as we do not get anything for coming close in a parlay.
If we have multiple plays that have a strong correlation with each other, then we could swing and miss on all of them, and that’s okay. There’s absolutely no difference between going 0-for-3 or 2-for-3 on a parlay.
That said, my goal in creating these parlays is to grab plays that increase the probability of the other plays hitting. For example, if I bet on a bunch of players on one team to generate runs, then it’s more likely that their team would also win that game.
Following this mold, I have three plays below for this featured game between the Giants and Cubs. Let’s take a look at the selections.
The Parlay (+700):
- Chicago Cubs -2.5 (+255)
- Christopher Morel – to Record an RBI (+215)
- Nico Hoerner – to Record a Hit (-280)
Same-Game Parlay – Giants vs Cubs
Chicago Cubs -2.5 (+255)
Left-hander Wade Miley takes the mound for the Cubs tonight. Last week, Miley made his first start since June (shoulder) and looked strong in his return.
In that start, he allowed two earned runs on two hits while striking out six through four innings pitched. The Cubs won that outing by six runs.
While Miley has only made five starts this season, his metrics are excellent as he boasts a .288 xwOBA, .229 xBA, and .312 xSLG. Additionally, he was excellent between his two starts against San Francisco last season, posting a 0.93 ERA and 0.98 WHIP.
Meanwhile, this San Francisco lineup struggles against left-handed pitching. Since August 1, the Giants rank just 19th in the league in BA, 21st in SLG, 18th in OPS, and 17th in wOBA.
On the other side, San Francisco is rolling with a bullpen game. This should be good news for the Cubs as the Giants' relief staff ranks in the bottom half of the league in WHIP, BA, SLG, wOBA, and FIP since the beginning of August.
Christopher Morel – Record an RBI (+215)
If we are backing the Cubs to win this game, then we obviously need them to score runs.
Enter Christopher Morel.
Through 92 games this season, Morel possesses a .246 BA, .440 SLG, and .752 OPS. Collecting four RBIs over his last nine games, Morel could be a threat to collect another one in this outing.
His metrics are the best on the team, posting a .319 xwOBA and .428 xSLG. Today's opener for the Giants is right-hander John Brebbia.
When facing right-handed pitchers, Morel's numbers jump by almost 30% as he boasts a .263 BA, .470 SLG, and .796 OPS. Additionally, he is a much better hitter when playing at Wrigley Field. At home this season, Morel boasts a .277 BA, .503 SLG, and .834 OPS.
Nico Hoerner – Record a Hit (-280)
Morel has got to hit somebody in to grab that RBI, so we are going to move just a few spots up the order and target Nico Hoerner. In his fourth season with the club, Hoerner is having yet another strong campaign.
Through 123 games, he boasts a .288 BA, .418 SLG, and .753 OPS. A great contact hitter, Hoerner is currently riding a five-game hit streak, collecting eight hits over that stretch.
In his one career game against Brebbia, Hoerner went 1-2 with a single. Hoerner's splits remain unchanged regardless of whether he is facing left- or right-handed pitchers.
