Phillies vs. Braves Odds
| Phillies Odds | +154 |
| Braves Odds | -184 |
| Over/Under | 8.5 |
| Time | 7:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
| Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. | |
After dropping game one, the Atlanta Braves look to strike back at the Philadelphia Phillies and even up this four-game set.
The Phillies jumped the Braves Monday night en route to a 7-3 victory. Bryce Harper played in his third consecutive game since returning from PRP treatment. However, it was the rest of the Phillies' offense that knocked around Tucker Davidson for five runs over 2 2/3 innings.
The Phillies send Kyle Gibson to the mound to try to notch their third consecutive victory.
Max Fried will get the start for the Braves as they attempt to get back into the win column.
Harper Ready to Go for Phillies
Since Harper's return from PRP treatment, the Phillies have won two of three games.
Overall, the Phillies' offense has been pretty potent on the road against LHP this season. The Phillies are actually the best offense in MLB in terms of team wRC+ and are also hitting .294 as a team on the road against LHP in 2022.
Gibson gets the start for the Phillies, and he has not pitched well on the road this season. Over 18 2/3 road innings, Gibson has posted a 6.27 ERA and a 4.87 FIP.
The Phillies' bullpen has been on a little bit of an upswing over the past two weeks, but can you really trust them? The answer is no. No you cannot.
Braves Picking Up Steam?
The Braves got off to a slow start in 2021, and they're doing the same thing this season — that is especially annoying if you have continually backed them, hoping they'll morph into championship form overnight.
However, the Braves' offense has performed reasonably well in May against RHP at home. Considering Gibson's struggles and the return of Ronald Acuna Jr., this could be a good spot for the Braves' offense to shine.
Fried is on the mound, and his more favorable splits are on the road this season. However, his home stats are still good and are also indicative of potential positive regression. His 3.20 FIP and 3.00 xFIP show his 3.90 ERA at home may be a little deceiving.
Additionally, the Braves' bullpen has been excellent over the past couple of weeks and should be able to shut the Phillies down whenever Fried hands off the baton.
Phillies-Braves Pick
This NL East showdown is going to have an added level of intensity, as the Braves look to pull even with the Phillies for second place in the NL East.
The issue here is the Braves' moneyline is already -150, which is approaching "not great value" territory. If the moneyline holds at -150 or moves to -145, that's probably the best play. If it gets beyond the -150 threshold, you might as well just hop on the runline — it's in plus territory and might be worth the risk.
So, Braves moneyline — with a caveat here — is the call.
Pick: Braves ML -150 (maybe RL)
