NASCAR returns to Daytona International Speedway for the regular-season finale. Saturday night's Coke Zero 400 (7:00 p.m. ET, NBC) should be a wild affair, with the final playoff spot up for grabs among 15 drivers.
With pack racing and high intensity comes significant randomness.
That means long-shot bets are often quite valuable at these races.
That's what I'm banking on for this week's best prop bet.
NASCAR at Daytona Pick
*Odds as of Tuesday night
Stop me if you've heard this before.
Yes, this is literally the exact same bet I recommended for the Daytona 500 at 40-1. Now we're getting the same driver, at the same track, at 65-1 odds at Caesars Sportsbook.
So, how did Ty Dillon fare last time at Daytona? He finished 11th. While that doesn't sound amazing, he was literally one foot away from finishing ahead of Chase Elliott.
That one foot was a killer. It cost me a +350 wager on his top-10 prop, but more importantly, had he passed his fellow Chevy driver, Dillon would have cashed that 40-1 ticket.
There's no reason to analyze this any different than before.
This will be a wild race. The win-and-in attitude for 15 drivers means there will be no mercy. All it takes is a driver to end up in the right place at the right time to cash this ticket.
Maybe this time Dillon finishes one foot to the good, instead of one foot behind.
The Bet: Ty Dillon Top Chevy +6500 | Bet to: +2500
