The Bahamas Bowl weather forecast has been quite eye-catching all week in the run-up to today's Buffalo vs. Charlotte game at Thomas Robinson Stadium.
So much so that we typically don't cover weather until we hit the 48-hour mark because forecasts can fluctuate so wildly that conditions on gameday don't at all resemble what was expected early in the week.
Odds as of Friday at 9 a.m. ET and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
However, the Buffalo vs. Charlotte weather forecast started off the week severe, and has remained just as brutal for those playing in today's bowl game.
Let's take a detailed look at the expected conditions in Nassau and how they're affecting the Bahamas Bowl over/under.
Bahamas Bowl Weather Forecast: Buffalo vs. Charlotte
Not only is the Bahamas Bowl forecast severe, it's among the worst ever tracked by our Bet Labs software.
At the time of writing, average winds of 27 mph are expected at Thomas Robinson Stadium in Nassau. Gusts could even touch 35 mph.
Since the start of the 2005 college football season, we've tracked just four games played in average breezes of more than 27 mph.
This is important because wind has a significant impact on scoring. According to Bet Labs, unders are 540-413-14 (56.7%) in college football games played in breezes of at least 13 mph.
That win rate spikes to 62.2% in winds that average 20 mph.
Unsurprisingly, the Buffalo vs. Charlotte over/under has plummeted from an opener of 57 to 50.5.
The weather forecast and over/under movement may seem familiar to anyone who bet the 2018 Bahamas Bowl, a game that resulted in a historically bad beat for anyone who played that under as well.