Following a couple of active weeks in terms of poor weather, NFL Week 15 isn't all that bad.
Sure, there will be plenty of games played in the cold, but that's expected in the middle of December. Besides, chilly temperatures don't have much of an effect on expected scoring when compared to NFL over/unders.
What bettors really need to worry about is wind. Strong breezes can make connecting on explosive, downfield passes more difficult, plus kickers struggle with accuracy in gusty winds.
Odds as of Sunday at 7 a.m. ET and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
At the time of writing, Sunday's Dolphins vs. Giants is projected for the most significant breezes.
Let's take a deeper dive into the Dolphins vs. Giants weather forecast at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, including a crazy Eli Manning weather trend.
Dolphins vs. Giants Weather Forecast
The Dolphins vs. Giants over/under opened at 47.5, but this number has been on the move since yesterday.
After an initial drop 46.5 early in the week, the total remained there until Saturday afternoon. Since then, the line has fallen to 44.5, which is where it sits now.
Sports Insights' weather data is calling for consistent breezes of 16 mph throughout the game. Additionally, the National Weather Service is forecasting gusts of up to 37 mph at MetLife Stadium.
According to our Bet Labs software, we know that 56.3% of NFL games played in double-digit winds have gone under the total since 2003.
And in terms of units won, Eli Manning has been the most profitable starting quarterback for under bettors when dealing with breezes of at least 10 mph.
Since 2005, Manning has played in 46 games with average winds of at least 10 mph — 30 of those games have gone under the total for a win rate of 65.2%.
Daniel Jones will not play this afternoon, paving the way for Manning's declining arm to struggle once again in difficult weather.
