Jets vs. Browns Odds
| Jets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 38.5 -110o / -110u | +215 |
| Browns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 38.5 -110o / -110u | -267 |
The New York Football Jets take on the Cleveland Browns. Unfortunately, I am a Jets fan, and have been suffering watching their games in-person since 1998.
While the Jets haven't been in the playoffs in the longest time, we're supposed to be hopeful about their future with head coach Robert Saleh. He's had a tough week in the press, but I do believe in his vision and this team.
Let's get into the game analysis.
Jets vs. Browns Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Jets and Browns match up statistically:
Jets vs. Browns DVOA Breakdown
 | Offense | Defense |  Edge |
| Overall DVOA | 22 | 10 | |
| Pass DVOA | 26 | 8 | |
| Rush DVOA | 16 | 23 | |
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Overall DVOA | 9 | 26 | |
| Pass DVOA | 19 | 30 | |
| Rush DVOA | 4 | 4 |
Looks can be deceiving. Last week, the Jets lost 24-9 to the Baltimore Ravens. While the end result was a 15-point loss and the Jets didn't cover the spread, they played better statistically than the result indicates. Several Jets fans, including myself, thought the first half was closer than expected.
The Ravens had 5.2 yards per play, while the Jets had 4.8, and New York actually gained more yards than Baltimore. That delta is not reflective of the actual game differential, and there is an argument to be made that the Jets may have in fact been able to cover that game. Baltimore did not look great, and the Jets hung in there for more than a half.
New York has a less than ideal injury report, with their defensive and offensive lines, along with key wide receivers, all listed. However, they're all expected to play besides TE C.J. Uzomah.
On the other bench, the Browns' injury report looks totally fine. Must be nice.
Keeping with the results vs. statistics theme, the Browns' win last week is not indicative of their true performance. Despite out-gaining the Panthers, they did not on a per-play basis and likely should have lost. It was a complete toss-up result, and Cleveland's win is more luck than it is a true measure of it as a team.
Betting Picks
This is a classic case where the final score of two games does not tell the full story. We see one team who put up 26 points and beat an AFC foe on the road, and one who lost by 15 while not covering the spread.
Digging in further reveals that these results were not truly reflective of the underlying yards-per-play statistics, and the expected outcome is much different than the actual one.
What do the Jets and Browns have in common coming out of Week 1? Yards per play.
You have one squad at 4.8 and another with 4.8, but one is laying 6.5 points? That does not make a ton of sense.
While the Jets will always be the Jets, this is one opportunity where the points become incredibly valuable.
Give me the Jets on the road with Joe Flacco against the Jacoby Brissett-led Browns. It won't be a pretty contest, but I have this closer to a field goal than I do almost a touchdown. Prayers up.
