Most weeks, when there is a game in Europe, NFL fans have to wake up early to catch it. Then, they stay up late to watch Sunday Night Football. For Week 10, the NFL did fans a favor and used two of the most boring games to start and end the day, giving fans the opportunity to catch up on some sleep.
Jokes aside, the Raiders united under Antonio Pierce in Week 9 and played their best game of the season. The result was a dominant 30-6 victory over the Giants.
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The Jets, on the other hand, reverted back to their awful early season form as the Chargers crushed them, 27-6. New York's offense committed three turnovers and only scored on two of its 13 drives. Given the positions the offense put them in, the defense held up pretty well.
That leads us to my Jets vs Raiders Sunday Night Football same game parlay.
Pierce has made it abundantly clear the Raiders' game plan each week will feature Josh Jacobs. Meanwhile, the Jets will also likely rely on their defense and rushing attach after watching Zach Wilson give the game away last week.
Jets vs Raiders Same Game Parlay (+950 via DraftKings)
- Breece Hall 100-Plus Rushing + Receiving yards (+130)
- Josh Jacobs Over 16.5 carries (-160)
- Under 38.5 (-110)
Breece Hall 100-Plus Rushing + Receiving Yards
The Raiders have allowed an opposing running back to cross this threshold in three straight games. Breece Hall has done it twice this year and came very close with 93 yards on two other occasions.
The Raiders are 27th in yards per carry allowed and we've seen Hall make explosive plays out of slight gaps in the defense.
Las Vegas plans to lean on its run game, which means the score won't get out of hand. A close game will allow the Jets to stick to their plan and feed their dynamic running back.
Receiving yards is worked in here because Hall has made several big plays through the air and has seen an increase in targets in recent weeks. A heavy workload and weak Raiders run defense spells a big game for Hall.
Josh Jacobs Over 16.5 Carries
If there were an alt line, I might be taking this at 20+ carries. Pierce has spoken about leaning on his running back and gave Jacobs 28 carries last week. Additionally, the Jets offense won't force a negative game script. Add in a rookie quarterback and it's clear the volume will be there for Jacobs, even if he struggles.
Jacobs went under this mark four times last season and I expect Pierce will have his offense play a similar style. The entire offensive staff was let go and without leadership, or an offseason to install a passing scheme, the easiest thing to do is run the ball.
The game plan was effective last week, so expect Jacobs to be fed once more.
Under 38.5
We typically cover spreads and/or totals before props, but this pick is a consequence of our props. If running backs are being fed and playing well, there will be few plays to drive the score up and the clock will constantly be running. That plays right into the under.
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