Week 6 Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks
Below are my ATD picks for NFL Week 6 from the Touchdown Show, which you can watch every Sunday morning on Action Network's YouTube page.
The Bengals are 16th against the run, but that’s skewed by a Week 3 matchup with the Rams that saw Los Angeles only run 10 carries for 38 yards.
The last two weeks, the Bengals allowed Derrick Henry to run for 122 yards on 5.55 yards per carry and James Conner and Emari Demercado to run for 90 yards on 5.63 yards per carry.
The Seahawks feed Walker in the red zone, so we’re going back to a familiar well.
The Jets will be without their two starting cornerbacks today in Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed, which sets up Smith for success in Week 6.
Smith has been quiet over the Eagles’ last couple games, so the due factor is strong here. Also, +210 is a great number for a very good player facing a team without anyone to cover him.
Kmet has three touchdowns in his last three games and is a key part of the Bears’ offense in the red zone. The Vikings have given up the third-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season, so we’ll back them to continue that negative trend.
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tiers: Week 6
The anytime touchdown tiers are a weekly feature that breaks each weekend’s matchups to identify players with the highest likelihood of scoring a touchdown each week. This is designed as a resource for you to use on your anytime touchdown plays.
The rankings consist of four tiers, with Tier 1 containing players I feel most confident in scoring a touchdown that weekend. These are players who are getting heavy volume and/or have a great matchup. Nothing is a sure thing when betting anytime touchdowns, but these are the players I feel are closest to that sure thing designation.
Tier 2 are also players I really like to score a touchdown but rank just below those tier 1 players. Tier 2 players still have good matchups and solid volume, but just fall right below those Tier 1 players.
Tiers 3 (and Tier 4) is where a lot can be found. These are mostly players with a good shot of scoring, but the odds aren’t going to be in the -120 range or anywhere near there. Tier 4 consists of longer odds players that could find the end zone, and the odds are often reflective of that, who don't see the volume or have the best matchup.
If you are making an anytime touchdown parlay, sticking to Tier 1 (and Tier 2) players is your best bet, as both tiers are the two most likely to score (Tier 1 being the favorites). Each Tier is ranked as well, so the top player in each tier would be a favorite to score a touchdown and so on down the list. That way you can see which players within each tier I like the most. These have produced some memorable anytime touchdown parlay hits, so use this as a resource when throwing together your plays.
Here are the players who stand out in Week 6.
Tier 1
WR Cooper Kupp (LAR)
WR Ja'Marr Chase (CIN)
RB Kenneth Walker III (SEA)
Tier 2
WR CeeDee Lamb (DAL)
WR Calvin Ridley (JAC)
RB D'Andre Swift (DET)
TE T.J. Hockenson (MIN)
Tier 3
WR Zay Flowers (BAL)
WR Drake London (ATL)
RB Brian Robinson (WAS)
