Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers Odds
Bears Odds | +11.5 |
Packers Odds | -11.5 |
Over/Under | 43 |
Time | 8:20 p.m. ET |
TV | NBC |
Bettors are absolutely hammering the Green Bay Packers spread for Sunday Night Football against the Chicago Bears.
And there's good reason for it. Aaron Rodgers owns the Bears. He's 21-5 all-time against Chicago. He's averaged about 240 passing yards and two touchdowns with just 0.38 interceptions per game against the Bears over his career — the best overall stats against any single team for the future Hall of Famer.
This historical precedent has been enough to move the line down precipitously. While the Packers opened as -9 favorites, the line is as steep as -12.5 now at some sportsbooks.
PointsBet is pricing the contest at -11.5, but that line could very well move further before kickoff.
Bettors are requisitely hammering Packers player prop picks as well.
These are the three most popular player prop wagers for Sunday Night Football. All odds and data are according to PointsBet.
Bears vs. Packers Most Popular Player Prop Bets
- Aaron Rodgers to throw for more than 260.5 passing yards (-110)
- Davante Adams to score a touchdown at any time (-131)
- Aaron Jones to score a touchdown at any time (+110)
Rodgers' player prop pick is actually the most popular line out of any game this weekend. Again, it's for good reason.
The best value you can get on this line is at BetMGM, where they're pricing the over at 253.5 (-115).
There's insane value on that line.
First of all, The Action Network’s Director of Predictive Analytics Sean Koerner thinks the total on Rodgers passing yard player prop should be more like 263.5.
That means BetMGM’s line gives you a roughly 4% edge.
Secondly, Rodgers has thrown for more than 253.5 yards in seven of his 11 games this season, which means the implied odds of it happening are roughly -175 based exclusively off of that historical precedent.
Lastly, Rodgers owns the Bears.
That one's a no brainer in my eyes.
The other two most popular player props are tossups. Adams has scored in just four of 11 games this season, which implies that the odds should be somewhere closer to +175.
Meanwhile, Jones has also scored a touchdown in just four of his 11 games.
Overall, take the Rodgers passing yards prop at heavy value and call it a day.