The Seahawks host the Chiefs in the game with the highest projected point total of the week, so you know that the overs are in play as we look at the best prop bets for Sunday Night Football.
That's the direction the Player Prop Tool is pointing us as well, with overs littering the best value bets on the board.
With the Chiefs offense proving to be borderline unstoppable, the opposing offense always makes for an enticing target.
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- Props Tool Bet Quality 10 Record: 214-100 (66%)
- Article picks: 46-23 (67%)
- Bet the Prop Overall Record: 312-218 (59%)
Seahawks QB Russell Wilson
Over 229.5 Passing Yards (-115 at 5 Dimes)
The Seahawks will no doubt try to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field with a heavy dose of Chris Carson and the run game. That's always the game plan against the Chiefs, but it never lasts very long.
The Chiefs rank 31st in pass attempts allowed, 30th in completions, and dead last in passing yards allowed, as opposing quarterbacks have no choice but to air it out in a bid to keep pace.
Only three of 14 quarterbacks to face the Chiefs have gone under 229 yards this year. However, all of those instances came at Arrowhead Stadium, where the Chiefs defense plays much better — they allow an average of 34.1 points the road compared to 20.1 at home.
Quarterbacks playing on their own turf have averaged 351 passing yards against the Chiefs.
Sean Koerner is projecting 246 yards for Wilson, giving us a solid value at this number. I'd play it to 234.5 and would pay -122 at the current number.
Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett
Over 3.5 Receptions (-115 at Sportsbook.ag)
We're leveraging the Wilson play to include the Seahawks' best game breaker, a player who will be counted on if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive.
While Lockett has fallen short of this number in two of his past three, those came in slow-paced contests versus the Viking and 49ers (twice). This game is a different animal altogether, and oddsmakers are projecting both offenses will be able to move the ball with ease.
A total of 22 different wide receivers have had four or more receptions against the Chiefs, who allow the sixth-most receptions and seventh-most yards to the position. Those numbers become even worse anytime they hit the road.
Sean Koerner projects Lockett for 59 yards on 3.9 receptions, giving us a little room to breathe, and also putting the receiving yardage prop in play for anyone who likes to double dip.
This number is unlikely to move any higher than it already is, but if the vig moves, I'd still pay it up to -122.
