Brentford vs. Spurs Odds
Brentford Odds | +320 |
Spurs Odds | -115 |
Draw | +250 |
Over/Under | 2.5 (-125 / -110) |
Day | Time | Saturday | 12:30 p.m. ET |
How To Watch | NBC | Peacock Premium | fuboTV |
Odds updated via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here. |
The battle for a top-four position rages on in the Premier League this weekend when Tottenham takes a trip to West London for a fixture with Brentford.
As it stands, Spurs are in the coveted final spot for a Champions League berth next season, ahead of Arsenal only on goal differential. With six games remaining, the clubs meet on May 12 for a six-point game, but they'll be looking to position themselves as well as possible ahead of it.
So, will Tottenham be able to get a crucial win against Brentford? Let's jump into it and see where we can find some betting value.
Brentford Steady, Content in Late Push
After a 74-year wait to reach England's top flight of football, Brentford will have absolutely no issues with its first season back in the big leagues.
The Bees would've made it their first goal to avoid relegation back into the Championship, and they've passed that test with flying colors. Since a brief midseason scare, Brentford has steadied the ship and played true mid-table level soccer.
That's a big win for any newly promoted side, but particularly one that hadn't had a taste of EPL football in a long time. Most recently, the Bees have put together a run of the highest order, winning five of their last six games and proving its place in the EPL was no fluke.
This game will be another chance to showcase that Brentford can compete with the best teams in the league.
Spurs Looking To Grind Out Key Results
It hasn't been a smooth ride for Tottenham, but it still has a chance to complete one of its biggest goals of the season — qualifying for a Champions League position.
After competing in the UEFA Conference League this year, there's no question Spurs will be looking to reap the rewards of prestige and money that come with the most elite competition in the sport. Needless to say, a win in this contest would go a long way in getting there.
With a game coming up against Liverpool and an intense North London derby ahead, it would serve Tottenham well to take all the points here. In the reverse fixture, Tottenham was able to secure a calm, 2-0 home victory.
If Spurs perform as they did against Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa (despite the 4-0 win, Tottenham actually generated 0.5 less xG), it could be a long day. However, if Tottenham performs as it did in the three games prior, getting a win is very much in the picture.
BJ Cunningham’s EPL Projections
Betting Analysis & Pick
Both teams have been playing solid football of late, and while Tottenham has more to play for than Brentford, it's hard to see too much value with the visitor.
Conte's side mustered a near two expected-goals edge on average over its past five games, but the host has posted a similarly impressive number, though having a slightly smaller advantage during that span. However, the Bees play and dominate Chelsea away from home in that span.
Overall, Tottenham maintains a -0.13 xG/game differential away from home soil, while Brentford sits at the exact same -0.13 number at home.
Getting plus money on the Bees to earn a point is a number I can't refuse.
Pick: Brentford +0.5 (+100)