We have a three-way tie atop the leaderboard following the second round of the Wyndham Championship. Brandon Wu, Joohyung Kim and Ryan Moore are all 9-under par and boast a one-stroke lead over second place.
Now, we look forward to Saturday's third round, which features plenty of prop angles to attack on PrizePicks. Below, I give out my five PrizePicks flex plays for the third round of the 2022 Wyndham Championship.
For those unfamiliar with flex plays in golf, different combinations of overs and unders generate different payouts. Using the five plays below, getting five-of-five correct registers a 10x payout, four-of-five correct registers a 2x payout and three-of-five correct registers a 0.4x payout.
PrizePicks Plays
Russell Henley: Round 3 Under 67.5 Strokes
To help us predict success at this course, let's look to the past. The previous winners at Sedgefield Country Club have proven to excel in three metrics: SG: Approach-the-Green, SG: Tee-to-Green and Greens in Regulation Percentage (GIR%). Enter Russell Henley.
On TOUR this season, Henley ranks second in SG: Approach-the-Green, 11th in SG: Tee-to-Green, and sixth in GIR%. We have seen these strong metrics directly correlate to a great start to this tournament as Henley is T4 at 8-under par.
Going under this total in each of the first two rounds, we should not expect anything different from Henley over the weekend. Amongst the field, Henley ranks seventh in SG: Approach-the-Green, fourth in SG: Tee-to-Green and eighth in GIR%.
I would not play this total lower than 67.5.
Will Zalatoris: Round 3 Under 67.5 Strokes
Another guy we are backing Saturday is Will Zalatoris, who is T39 at 3-under par.
While Zalatoris has gone under this total just once through the first two rounds, we should expect a better weekend from one of the best iron players on the planet. On TOUR this season, Zalatoris ranks first in SG: Approach-the-Green, second in SG: Tee-to-Green and ninth in GIR%.
We have seen these metrics translate to some success for Zalatoris this week, however, his putter has been his only detriment. While this trend is usually the case for Zalatoris, those putts will start falling.
Once they do, his strong play should propel him up the leaderboard. Amongst the field, Zalatoris ranks just 97th in SG: Putting, but sits inside the top-35 in SG: Approach-the-Green, SG: Tee-to-Green and GIR%.
I would play this number down to 67.
Billy Horschel: Round 3 Under 67.5 Strokes
The last golfer we are backing Saturday is Billy Horschel, who is T25 at 4-under par.
While Horschel has gone under this total just once through the first two rounds, we should expect some positive regression over the weekend. On TOUR this season, Horschel ranks 36th in SG: Tee-to-Green and 25th in GIR%.
We have seen these metrics translate to some success for Horschel this week, however, his putter has been a detriment. Ranking 63rd amongst the field in SG: Putting, Horschel also finds himself inside the top-40 in SG: Approach-the-Green and SG: Tee-to-Green.
Those putts will start falling and when they do, Horschel should be able to climb the leaderboard.
I would not play this total any lower than 67.5.
Sungjae Im: Round 3 Over 67.5 Strokes
We are also fading a couple of golfers Saturday, starting with Sungjae Im. Entering the third round, Im is T4 at 8-under par.
I do not expect Im's success to continue over the weekend because of his reliance on his putting game. Amongst the field, Im ranks ninth in SG: Putting, but ranks only 74th in SG: Approach-the-Green and 30th in SG: Tee-to-Green.
If Im is relying on his putter to keep him inside the top five, that is not a recipe for success at Sedgefield Country Club. Im is certainly a strong iron player so that part of his game could definitely improve, but I believe it is more likely his putter regresses over the next two days.
I would not play this number higher than 67.5.
Tyrrell Hatton: Round 3 Over 67.5 Strokes
The other golfer we are fading Saturday is Tyrrell Hatton, who is T15 at 5-under par.
Despite his success thus far in this tournament, I am not sure Hatton's iron play is sustainable. Amongst the field, Hatton ranks 28th in SG: Approach-the-Green and 29th in SG: Tee-to-Green.
However, on TOUR this season, he ranks just 111th and 80th, respectively, in those two metrics. If regression hits, even slightly, in either of those two categories, then repeating his 67 from Friday is unlikely.
I would play this total up to 68.
