Dodgers vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - October 9, 2024

Dodgers at Padres

1:08 am • Fox Sports 1

Los Angeles Dodgers

3-2

5 - 6

San Diego Padres

2-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.King			3.75	2-0
W.Buehler			3.60	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 3-2	+1.5	+1.5-172	o7.5-118	+122
Padres 2-3	u7.5	-1.5+145	u7.5-102	-146

Wednesday 1:08 a.m.

October 09, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

LAD +125

Add bq

M.King o5.5 Ks+104

0.5u

W.Buehler u2.5 Ks+130

0.65u

SD -145

0.34u

Caesars

LAD +130

Bq add

W.Buehler u4.5 Hits Allowed+100

LAD +135

🔑 Dodgers ML +135 (Bally) 2u Dodgers as this big of dogs is crazy. The line is dropping everywhere. Grabbed on Bally at the best value. My gut is telling me the Padres win but the money and line is telling me otherwise. Following the money, the sharp money. Tail cautiously, I’m ice cold. But will get right. Always do

M.King u5.5 Ks-120

1.67u

Over 8-105

1.9u

SD -1.5+145

LAD o3.5 Team Total-111

D.Peralta u0.5 Hits+120

0.5u

@charliedisturco

F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases-105

0.71u

@BJCunningham

F.Tatis o0.5 HR+360

0.9u

@BJCunningham

SD -155

0.65u

Over 4.5 (F5)+100

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases+105

S.Ohtani o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-150

1.5u

M.Betts o1.5 Total Bases+134

2.85u

Under 8-115

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Pitcher-friendly umpire Cory Blaser and the pitcher-friendly Petco Park suggest lower offensive output. Michael King, with a 3.27 xFIP and 33% CSW%, is in strong form post-All-Star break. San Diego’s dominant bullpen, ranking 2nd in xFIP and K-BB%, adds to the Under play. The Dodgers' Walker Buehler and their bullpen, with a 3.12 ERA, also support a low-scoring game, especially if Freeman is absent.

LAD +150

0.25u

LAD +137

Under 7.5+105

M.Muncy o0.5 Total Bases-130

1.3u

Avery

M.Machado o1.5 Total Bases+123

1.23u

Johnny

Over 7.5-118

Avery

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases-102

1.02u

Sandy

LAD +136

Sandy

Under 7.5+100

Signal of the Day

F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases+100

F.Tatis o0.5 HR+360

2.02u

S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases-102

1.02u

LAD +136

SD -150

M.King u16.5 Outs-120

0.83u

M.King u16.5 Outs-120

Just not seeing too much upside for King here. Gets the Dodgers, who will start at least 7 hitters who see above avg pitches per PA. Was under in 2/3 starts against LAD in the regular season as well. The Padres bullpen, which is a significant strength, is also fresh after Yu Darvish’s strong start in game 2, plus an off day.

W.Buehler u14.5 Outs-125

1.25u

Under 8-105

0.79u

Bet to 7.5 (-105)

Dodgers vs. Padres: Game 3 Team Total Prediction
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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card
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See more MLB Coverage

The Dodgers are 96-53 (.644) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Freddie Freeman is batting just .268 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 10th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Michael King has a strike rate of 67% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 82nd Percentile.

Teoscar Hernandez has struck out in 30% of PA's since last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Michael King has a strikeout rate of 33% vs right-handed batters since last season -- tied for second highest among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	4-3	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Dodgers	11-5	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 7th	@LAD	W 10-2	+1.5 W	O 8	SD +130
Oct 6th	@LAD	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 8	LAD +120
Oct 3rd	ATL	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 6.5	SD -120
Oct 2nd	ATL	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	SD -198
Sep 29th	@ARI	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	ARI +180

Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RW.Buehler, P	77	5	0	6
LA.Banda, P	13	1.1	2	0
RD.Hudson, P	4	0.2	0	0
RM.Kopech, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Ohtani, DH	1-4	1	0	0
2M.Betts, RF	2-4	2	1	1
3F.Freeman, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Taylor, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3C.Taylor, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
4T.Hernandez, LF	1-3	1	1	4
5M.Muncy, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Muncy, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6W.Smith, C	0-4	0	0	0
7G.Lux, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8T.Edman, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Edman, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Rojas, SS	1-1	0	0	0
9A.Pages, PR	0-2	1	0	0
9A.Pages, CF	0-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.King, P	77	5	3	5
RJ.Estrada, P	13	1	2	0
RJ.Adam, P	15	1	1	0
LT.Scott, P	9	0.2	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	17	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-4	1	1	2
3J.Profar, LF	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
5J.Merrill, CF	0-3	1	0	0
6X.Bogaerts, SS	0-4	1	0	1
7D.Peralta, DH	1-3	1	0	2
8J.Cronenworth, 2B	2-3	1	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-2	0	0	1