Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds
| Yankees Odds | -108 |
| Blue Jays Odds | -108 |
| Over/Under | 8 (-110/-110) |
| Time | 7:07 p.m. ET |
| TV | TBS |
The Yankees had a chance to clinch the AL East last night, but will have to wait at least one more day after falling 3-2 in 10 innings to the Blue Jays.
Toronto, on the other hand, was not only able to stay alive in the division race, but is on the cusp of locking up a postseason birth with a wild-card spot.
All eyes are on this series as Aaron Judge chases the AL home run record. However, a lot is on the line for both teams here.
Yanks Are More Than Just Judge
Jameson Taillon has been the mark of consistency for the Yankees this season. He has made 30 starts and holds a 13-5 record.
In his 30 starts, Taillon has pitched at least five innings in 24 of them and allowed three runs or fewer in 24 outings.
Taillon doesn’t have overpowering stuff and isn’t a big strikeout guy, but he throws strikes and has a deep pitch mix, throwing five pitches at least 10% of the time.
The curveball has been his best pitch, as he's allowing just a .198 wOBA against it.
Obviously all the talk around this team centers around Judge and his quest for 61 home runs. But that hasn’t been the only story in New York recently.
Gleyber Torres is finally looking like his old self again, and No. 14-ranked prospect Oswaldo Cabrera is proving he belongs in the big leagues.
Can Jays' Berrios Turn it Around?
Jose Berrios has been one of the most disappointing pitchers in the league all year. The two-time All-Star was a big acquisition for the Blue Jays at last year’s trade deadline, but has really struggled this season in Toronto.
In 30 starts for the Jays, Berrios has a 5.27 ERA, which is the highest ERA in the entire league among all qualified pitchers. His .350 xwOBA allowed is in the bottom 10% of all pitchers. His fastball has been hammered to a .353 batting average.
The Blue Jays' lineup is one of the most dangerous in baseball. It ranks second in wRC+ and wOBA on the season, trailing only the Dodgers.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., George Springer and Matt Chapman are all former All-Stars, but Bo Bichette might be the best hitter on this team now.
Yankees-Blue Jays Pick
Berrios has been a huge disappointment this year for Toronto. In three starts against the Yankees, he has allowed 10 runs in 17 innings.
He gives up a ton of hard contact, and well, the Yankees hit the ball hard.
Judge is batting .400 with a .500 xwOBA against Berrios in his career, with a pair of home runs.
New York had a little mini-slump, but with Anthony Rizzo and Giancarlo Stanton returning the lineup, it has bounced back to what we've seen most of the season.
Before last night's loss, the Yanks had won seven straight. It is understandable they dropped this series opener after the weird rain delay and late night on Sunday.
Taillon doesn't have elite stuff, but he is consistent and has been more trust-worthy than Berrios all season.
I'll back the Yankees to clinch the division on Tuesday night against the very team trying to chase them down.
Pick: New York Yankees ML -108 (Would play to -115)
