With plenty of bumper-to-bumper racing, battles for the lead and big wrecks, superspeedway racing, like what we'll see at today's Daytona 500, is exciting.
However, the randomness caused by pack racing also makes handicapping the race difficult, especially when betting head-to-head driver matchups.
As a result, I like to target plus-money underdogs in matchups at Daytona because there's simply too much unpredictability to feel confident laying a big price.
With this in mind, here are two driver matchups I'm betting for the Daytona 500.
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Daytona 500 Driver Matchup Betting Picks
Chris Buescher (+120) over Ryan Newman
Not only is Chris Buescher a really nice longshot bet to win the race outright, he's also providing solid value in a matchup against Ryan Newman.
I currently have Newman 19th and Buescher 22nd in my Daytona 500 driver rankings, so I think this is essentially a pick'em.
Let's not overthink this and take advantage of the plus-money in a bet that is basically a 50/50 proposition.
Kyle Larson (+110) over Erik Jones
Similar to the first matchup, I have this as basically a pick'em with Jones 18th and Larson 20th in my Daytona 500 rankings.
In addition, I saved the following tweet from Larson that posted back on Jan. 8:
A. For the rest of my career on super speedways https://t.co/FfYcex2dgn
— Kyle Larson (@KyleLarsonRacin) January 8, 2020
I found this interesting because, while you can't predict which drivers will get caught up in wrecks, hanging at the back is a strategy some — like Tony Stewart — employ to try and stay in the game as long as possible, then get racey in the final laps.
For betting purposes, I like a driver getting plus-money riding around at the back to stay out of trouble.
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