Rutgers vs. Washington Odds
| Rutgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -110 | 44.5 -110o / -110u | -135 |
| Washington Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -110 | 44.5 -110o / -110u | +115 |
Last week was a tough pill to swallow. It seemed like we had a good thing going with Nebraska and Illinois, but then the Huskers opened the door for the Illini to ruin our same-game parlay.
Now, we head to Piscataway, where the Washington Huskies (3-1) will take on the impressive Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-0).
It’ll be uncharted territory for the Huskies, who are leaving Seattle for the first time this season.
Washington may not be as dynamic as it was when Kalen DeBoer was calling plays, but Jedd Fisch has managed to keep this program afloat, especially with its dramatic move to the Big Ten.
Rutgers’ first two weeks were against Howard and Akron and weren’t much of a match for the Knights. But then, coming off a bye, they headed to Blacksburg to face Virginia Tech and came out with a close win.
We've got a big parlay this week with +1230 odds, so let's dive into the Rutgers vs. Washington same-parlay I’ve built on BetMGM.
Rutgers vs. Washington Parlay
- Rutgers -2.5 (-110)
- Over 44.5 (-110)
- Kyle Monangai Over 104.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
- Jonah Coleman Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-105)
Parlay odds: +1230
Please always remember to bet responsibly. SGPs are long shots for a reason.
Spread: Rutgers -2.5
I think these teams are similar.
Rutgers has such a well-rounded and dynamic offense with a passing attack that’s ranked first in Passing Down Success Rate and seventh in Passing Play SR.
Athan Kaliakmanis is a fine quarterback who struggled a lot in his first two years in Minnesota. But now his completion rate is nearly 10 percentage points higher than it was last season.
Additionally, Rutgers' run game is violent — and I’m not exaggerating. Samuel Brown has prided himself on being a “more violent runner,” and Kyle Monangai is fifth in the FBS in rushing yards.
Washington always had an issue stopping the run and that hasn’t changed with Fisch at the helm. The Huskies' competition hasn’t been all that competitive, so it’s alarming that they’re 101st in rushing explosiveness allowed and 69th in rushing defense SR.
I’m expecting the Knights to come out of this game victorious and take advantage of a program that averages 90 yards rushing allowed per game.
Over/Under: Over 44.5
This one was tricky for me because every game Washington has played has gone under the total.
The problem is that Washington hasn't squared off with a team as good at Rutgers. The Huskies have faced Weber State, Eastern Michigan, Washington State (lost) and Northwestern. Those are all unspectacular programs.
However, Washington quarterback Will Rogers is one of the more efficient quarterbacks in the FBS. He’s completing 77% of his throws, but has no real playmakers outside of his running back, Jonah Coleman.
Rutgers, on the other hand, hasn’t had an issue dropping 40 or more points against lower-tiered opponents.
Kaliakmanis may not always throw for distance, but he’s made an effort to be more efficient. Also, he has a myriad of playmakers in Dymere Miller, Ian Strong and Chris Long that he can chuck it to.
Rutgers Prop: Kyle Monangai Over 104.5 Rush Yards
Monangai is a special back who possesses a low center of gravity and the quickness to evade tacklers. He’s not going to be alone, but he’s going to get the bulk of the carries.
He averages 6.3 yards per carry and has made five trips to the end zone. Along with the dynamic passing attack, Rutgers is ranked sixth in Rushing Success Rate.
So, given that Washington has had a hard time stopping the run and Monangai has the ability to run at a high level, I think 104.5 is a reasonable number.
It may seem high to you, but this is a player who, in three games, posted 165, 208 and 84 yards — 104.5 seems very attainable.
Washington Prop: Jonah Coleman Over 65.5 Rush Yards
With the odds being -105 for this prop, I’m a tad surprised that it seems less favorable to oddsmakers.
Similar to his running back counterpart in Monangai, Coleman is a rough-and-tumble, offensive dynamo who thrives on contact.
Growing up, I loved watching Marshawn Lynch and his ability to take blow after blow and keep going. Coleman, albeit shorter in stature, reminds me of the way Beast Mode kept trucking along.
So far, Coleman is keeping up with his yards per carry rate, like he did with Arizona last year. Unsurprisingly, he followed Fisch to Seattle.
We haven’t seen Coleman go under 65.5 yet and I’m sure his day will come. However, when you factor in that Rutgers is 114th in explosiveness allowed, 93rd in defending the run and 97th in PPA, it sets a nice scene for Coleman to go off yet again.
Perhaps I’m delusional, but delusion sometimes makes money. Let’s ride with our biggest SGP of the season.
