Steelers vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - January 15, 2024

Steelers at Bills

9:30 pm • CBS
17 - 31

Steelers at Bills Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Steelers
7-2
+10
+10-110
o39.5-110
+375
Bills
8-2
u38.5
-10-110
u39.5-110
-500
location pinMonday 9:30 p.m.
January 15, 2024
Highmark StadiumOrchard Park
Steelers vs. Bills Expert Picks
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
303d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
J.Cook u86.5 Rush Yds (Live)-120
0.25u
Small hedge and decent middle shot
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
303d ago
Last 30d: 36-38-1 (+1.6u)
BUF -8.5 (Live)-110
0.36u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
303d ago
Last 30d: 117-112-0 (+10.2u)
M.Rudolph o201.5 Pass Yds (Live)-114
$50.00
Bet What Happens Live!
Bet What Happens Live!
303d ago
Last 30d: 18-32-0 (+0.3u)
J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+400
0.5u
L.Murray Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+4500
0.1u
T.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+1800
0.1u
G.Pickens Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+650
0.5u
D.Kincaid u64.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
S.Diggs u58.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
P.Freiermuth o56.5 Rec Yds (Live)-108
0.93u
J.Allen u234.5 Pass Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
N.Harris o51.5 Rush Yds (Live)-110
1u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
303d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
J.Cook o84.5 Rush + Rec Yds-114
1.14u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
303d ago
Last 30d: 219-227-3 (+3.3u)
PIT +10-110
1u
… contrarian spread playoffs Overall: 70-47-3,60% (ROI:16%) Season:2-0-0,100% (ROI:98%)
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
303d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160
0.5u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
303d ago
Last 30d: 117-112-0 (+10.2u)
J.Allen o39.5 Rush Yds-120
$50.00
YBK Picks.com
303d ago
Last 30d: 48-46-1 (+2.2u)
Under 39-105
2u
Dale Tanhardt
Dale Tanhardt
303d ago
Last 30d: 17-35-0 (+46.8u)
BUF o12.5 Team Total (1H)-122
1.64u
69 with Dale 20 Days until the NASCAR Busch Light Clash!
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
303d ago
Last 30d: 103-119-1 (-11.6u)
J.Allen o36.5 Rush Yds-112
0.89u
J.Warren o3.5 Recs+120
1u
K.Shakir o2.5 Recs-135
0.74u
Capper Central
Capper Central
303d ago
Last 30d: 64-61-0 (-4.0u)
BUF -10-110
$68.18
#Contrarian #Injury #Sharp
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
303d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
C.Heyward Anytime TD Scorer Yes+3300
0.05u
🎯
Action Island
Action Island
303d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
N.Harris u7.5 Rec Yds-110
0.5u
@nick_giffen
D.Knox u13.5 Rec Yds-112
0.45u
@The_Oddsmaker
J.Allen u38.5 Rush Yds-102
0.5u
@GDAWG5000
J.Warren o19.5 Rec Yds-115
0.5u
@GDAWG5000
G.Pickens u3.5 Recs-138
0.5u
@The_Oddsmaker
BUF -10-110
0.45u
@nick_giffen
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
303d ago
Last 30d: 41-99-1 (-15.7u)
N.Harris u1.5 Recs-125
1.25u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
303d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
L.Murray u9.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
303d ago
Last 30d: 117-112-0 (+10.2u)
L.Murray Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1100
$10.00
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
303d ago
Last 30d: 32-25-0 (+3.8u)
L.Murray u9.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
303d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 35.5-110
0.91u
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
303d ago
Last 30d: 30-41-0 (-4.1u)
BUF -10-110
1u
Pittsburg is the only 10 win team in NFL history that is worse and luckier than the 2023-24 Eagles. The Bills stormed into the playoffs, the Steelers limped in on luck, I don’t expect this to be close.
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
303d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PIT +10-110
1u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
303d ago
Last 30d: 58-63-1 (-10.9u)
PIT +9.5-105
1.05u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
304d ago
Last 30d: 23-23-0 (-4.0u)
M.Rudolph u170.5 Pass Yds-115
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
304d ago
Last 30d: 177-204-3 (-27.2u)
S.Diggs u64.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
N.Harris Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165
1u
PIT +10-110
2.75u
Matthew Freedman
Matthew Freedman
304d ago
Last 30d: 3-4-0 (-1.0u)
Under 38.5-110
1.1u
Projection: 37.7. For more, check out Fantasy Life.
Ray  Monohan
Ray Monohan
304d ago
Last 30d: 12-13-0 (-1.3u)
Under 38.5-110
0.75u
VegasInsider.com’s Razor Ray Monohan MON. Free Play! Follow on X @Cappers_Picks
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
304d ago
Last 30d: 117-112-0 (+10.2u)
BUF -9.5-120
$50.00
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
304d ago
Last 30d: 72-63-2 (-2.1u)
Under 39-110
1u
Kevin  Thomas
Kevin Thomas
304d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
PIT +10-110
1u
Scott Pritchard
Scott Pritchard
304d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 38.5-110
0.91u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
304d ago
Last 30d: 5-36-0 (-10.6u)
S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155
1u
@charliedisturco
D.Kincaid Anytime TD Scorer Yes+350
1.75u
Via Brian Matthews
Buffalo D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500
0.25u
@GDAWG5000
Pittsburgh D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1000
0.5u
@GDAWG5000 and @nick_giffen
Convince Me
Convince Me
304d ago
Last 30d: 24-22-1 (-0.6u)
M.Rudolph u169 Pass Yds-115
1u
@SimonHunterNFL
J.Warren u8.5 Rush Att-135
0.74u
@ChrisRaybon
D.Knox u14.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u
@The_Oddsmaker
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
304d ago
Last 30d: 41-99-1 (-15.7u)
Pittsburgh D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1000
0.25u
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
305d ago
Last 30d: 26-28-1 (-1.0u)
J.Warren u8.5 Rush Att-130
0.77u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
305d ago
Last 30d: 103-119-1 (-11.6u)
PIT +10-110
1u
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
305d ago
Last 30d: 26-28-1 (-1.0u)
Over 35-108
0.93u
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
305d ago
Last 30d: 64-52-0 (+4.5u)
Over 33.5-110
1u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
306d ago
Last 30d: 49-55-2 (-1.6u)
J.Allen u205.5 Pass Yds-110
1u
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
306d ago
Last 30d: 39-51-0 (-7.3u)
T.Bass u6.5 Kicking Pts-108
1u
@nick_giffen
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
306d ago
Last 30d: 41-99-1 (-15.7u)
T.Bass u6.5 Kicking Pts-115
1.15u
@GreenDotDaily
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
306d ago
Last 30d: 32-25-0 (+3.8u)
D.Knox u15.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
306d ago
Last 30d: 9-15-0 (-7.4u)
J.Warren u9.5 Rush Att-110
1u
Raybon 3
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
306d ago
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-2.9u)
BUF -10-110
1u
Executive Decision
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
307d ago
Last 30d: 41-99-1 (-15.7u)
Over 35-110
1u
#LuckRankings
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
307d ago
Last 30d: 48-68-3 (-7.7u)
Under 35.5-110
0.55u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
307d ago
Last 30d: 41-91-1 (-7.2u)
Pittsburgh D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1000
0.2u
Bet both Bills D/ST at +500 for 0.3U and Steelers D/ST TD at +1000 for 0.2U. Make sure your book includes special teams and not just defense.
Buffalo D Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500
0.3u
Bet both Bills D/ST at +500 for 0.3U and Steelers D/ST TD at +1000 for 0.2U. Make sure your book includes special teams and not just defense.
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
308d ago
Last 30d: 11-13-2 (-3.2u)
J.Warren u9.5 Rush Att-120
0.83u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
309d ago
Last 30d: 74-55-0 (+12.4u)
J.Warren u9.5 Rush Att-115
1u
Under in 12/17 (including 6/7 Steelers losses) and the Bills allowed the third fewest rush att per game, mainly due to pace and gamescripts. Pace - since both teams changed OCs, they’ve really slowed down the pace. Both teams rank within as the 12 slowest teams in neutral gamescripts since Week 12 (in terms of seconds per play). Gamescript - Bills are rolling, they should control this one throughout, especially with the Steelers without TJ Watt. Weather could come into play, but it was very evident last week that the Steelers are going to use Najee as their banger. Warren with only 30% of PiTT’s rushing attempts the last three games. And quite honestly, Najee has looked better. We saw Najee get 26 attempts to Warren’s 9 in a gross weather game last week, in a rare game where the Steelers dominated time of possession. I don’t see that happening a the Bills.
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
309d ago
Last 30d: 26-28-1 (-1.0u)
BUF -10-110
0.91u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
310d ago
Last 30d: 15-21-0 (+10.8u)
Over 35.5-115
0.87u
My model is well above this total, even when you account for the wind. Current wind projections are at 20 miles per hour. With that assumed, I have the total at 43.2. If you reduced the wind speed to 5 miles per hour, my model has this at 45.8. So I think I'm already moving pretty far with this total -- and I'm still more than 5 points away from the market. There's likely no TJ Watt in this game, which dings the Steelers' defense, and the spread here is large, which correlates with a higher total. I understand why this total is where it's at, given the forecast, but I think it has moved too far down.
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
311d ago
Last 30d: 62-74-1 (-3.0u)
BUF -8.5-110
0.45u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
311d ago
Last 30d: 41-99-1 (-15.7u)
BUF -7.5-115
1u
#LuckRankings

PRO Insights

Steelers logo

Steelers

PIT Insights
  • Steelers logoThe Steelers are averaging 4.5 yards per carry this season -- T-6th-best in NFL; the Bills have allowed 4.8 yards per carry to RBs this season -- T-3rd-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Bills logo

Bills

BUF Insights
  • Bills logoBills TEs had 1 receiving touchdown in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- T-10th-most in NFL; the Steelers allowed 2 receiving touchdowns to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season -- T-5th-most in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE

Steelers vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

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    Jan 16, 2024 UTC
  • Koerner's Prop for Eagles vs. Buccaneers article feature image

    Koerner's Prop for Eagles vs. Buccaneers

    Sean Koerner
    Jan 15, 2024 UTC
  • Steelers vs. Bills: Buffalo to Roll in Tough Conditions article feature image

    Steelers vs. Bills: Buffalo to Roll in Tough Conditions

    Blake Krass
    Jan 15, 2024 UTC
  • The +995 SGP for Steelers vs. Bills article feature image

    The +995 SGP for Steelers vs. Bills

    Phillip Kall
    Jan 15, 2024 UTC
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Steelers vs. Bills Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Steelers vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages

35%

Bets%

65%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bills
1-11-14-21-11-2
Steelers
0-13-10-14-20-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Bills
2-02-02-42-00-3
Steelers
1-02-21-03-31-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bills
1-1N/A4-21-11-2
Steelers
0-13-1N/A4-20-1

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jan 8th@MIAW 21-14-2.5 WU 48BUF -150
Dec 31stNEW 27-21-14.5 LO 40BUF -1200
Dec 24th@LACW 24-22-12.5 LO 44.5BUF -800
Dec 17thDALW 31-10-2.5 WU 49.5BUF -140
Dec 10th@KCW 20-17+1.5 WU 49BUF +105

Steelers vs. Bills Injury Updates

Steelers Injuries

  • Tyler Matakevich
    LB

    Matakevich is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Jamal Agnew
    WR

    Agnew is out with leg

    Out

  • Ben Skowronek
    WR

    Skowronek is questionable with shoulder

    Questionable

  • Dylan Cook
    T

    Cook is out with foot

    Out

  • Roman Wilson
    WR

    Wilson is out with hamstring

    Out

Bills Injuries

  • Jordan Phillips
    DT

    Phillips is out with wrist

    Out

  • Amari Cooper
    WR

    Cooper is questionable with wrist

    Questionable

  • Reggie Gilliam
    FB

    Gilliam is questionable with hip

    Questionable

  • Baylon Spector
    LB

    Spector is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Dalton Kincaid
    TE

    Kincaid is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Keon Coleman
    WR

    Coleman is out with wrist

    Out

  • DeWayne Carter
    DT

    Carter is out with wrist

    Out

Team Stats
324
Total Yards
368
63
Total Plays
66
5.1
Yards Per Play
5.6
229
YDS
203
22/39
Comps/Atts
21/30
5.45
YPA
5.906
2/1
TDs/INTs
3/0
1/11
Sacks/Yards
2/14
106
Rush Yards
179
23
Attempts
34
4.609
YPC
5.265
0
TDs
1

Turnovers

1
Fumbles Lost
0
1
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

2/3 66.67%
Redzone
2/3 66.67%
5/11 0%
3rd Down
5/12 0%
0/1 0%
4th Down
1/1 0%

First Downs

22
Total
24
14
Pass
11
6
Rush
11
2
Penalty
2
6/50
Penalties/Yards
2/24
26:41
Possession
33:19

Steelers vs. Bills Odds Comparison

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Steelers at Bills Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Steelers
7-2
o14.5-105
u14.5-125
Bills
8-2
o24.5+100
u24.5-115