Dawson Knox
ATD +260 (Caesars)
Knox finally got on the touchdown board last week against the Jets with an acrobatic score.
Now, he gets a prime matchup against the Dolphins, who have struggled to contain tight ends this season. Miami is in the bottom five in catches, yards and touchdowns allowed to the position.
I used to have a rule that if Knox is ever over +200, it’s an autobet and I’ve been breaking that rule lately. Well, no more, Knox is scoring on Saturday.
Jaylen Waddle
ATD +300 (PointsBet)
Due to recency bias, we’re getting good value here on Waddle.
Two blowout wins for the Dolphins followed by two games where Tua Tagovailoa couldn’t complete a pass has Waddle without a score in four games. But Waddle has a get-right spot against a Bills defense that’s struggled to contain the pass. Buffalo’s allowed 12 touchdowns to receivers this year, which is the most of any position group.
Trent Sherfield at +550 is also a decent option, but I’ll take Waddle to get it done.
Isaiah McKenzie
ATD +350 (DraftKings)
McKenzie, who’s tallied 20 targets and has one touchdown over his last three games, is just too hard to pass on because of his versatility.
He’s equaled Gabe Davis with nine red-zone targets this season, and he also has three red-zone carries with a score.
When these teams met back in Week 3, McKenzie had nine targets and scored. In a game that’s expected to be really cold, quick short passes over the middle is what I expect from the Bills.
