Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, Pick, Odds for NFL Wild Card Round

Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, Pick, Odds for NFL Wild Card Round article feature image
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Getty Images/Action Network. Pictured: Jordan Love (left) and Jalen Hurts.

The Green Bay Packers (11-6) and Philadelphia Eagles (14-3) will face off in the NFL Wild Card Round. Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. EST on Sunday from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pa. The game will be broadcast live on FOX and streamed on platforms like YouTube TV.

The Eagles are favored by -4.5 with the game total set at 45.5 (-110o / -110u). The Eagles are -230 favorites to win outright, while the Packers are +190 to pull off the upset.

Josh Jacobs has led one of the most potent rushing attacks in the league, while Jordan Love and company have remained a threat in the passing game despite the loss of WR Christian Watson in Week 18 to a torn ACL. The Eagles, meanwhile, have been dominant despite missing Jalen Hurts for the last 3 weeks. Saquon Barkley, A.J. Brown, and the rest of Philadelphia's starters should be well-rested after not playing in Week 18.

Let's get into my Eagles vs Packers predictions and NFL picks.


Packers vs. Eagles Odds, Pick, Prediction

Packers Logo
Sunday, January 12
4:30 p.m. EST
FOX
Eagles Logo
Packers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+4.5
-110
45.5
-110o / -110u
+190
Eagles Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-4.5
-110
45.5
-110o / -110u
-230
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Packers vs. Eagles spread: Eagles -4.5 (-110)
  • Packers vs. Eagles over/under: 45.5 (-110o / -110u)
  • Packers vs. Eagles moneyline: Eagles -230, Packers +190
  • Packers vs. Eagles best bet: Packers 1H +3 (-115)

MyPackers vs. Eagles best bet is on the Packers to cover the first half spread (+3). For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.


Spread

I think there's some value on the Packers' side of the spread at +4.5, but I like them even more getting three points in the first half.

Over/Under

I'm also passing on the game total.

My Pick: Packers 1H +3 (-115)

Packers vs. Eagles NFL Wild Card Round Preview

Historically, the Wild Card Round has seen its fair share of upsets. Since 2017, underdogs have posted an impressive 24-12 record against the spread. This season, though, has been dominated by favorites, so we'll see whether that trend continues.

The Packers have been an enigma this year. After a dominant display against Seattle in Week 15, they had seemingly established themselves as a top-five team down the stretch. Then they faltered towards season's end, notably against the Minnesota Vikings and the Chicago Bears. The Packers navigated one of the toughest schedules in the league and got wins over playoff teams in the Rams and Texans outside of divisional play, even though these teams were hampered by missing key offensive weapons.

Entering the playoffs absence of WR Christian Watson looms large, as the Packers' offensive explosiveness diminishes significantly without him. This will put the onus on Jayden Reed and Romeo Doubs to step up, and Jordan Love must deliver an efficient performance against a fearsome Eagles defense.

So, why specifically back the Packers in the first half?

The Eagles, despite their accolades, have been notoriously sluggish out of the gate all season. They averaged 3.6 points in the first quarter and 12.4 in the first half during the regular season, both of which placed them in the bottom half of the league. Contrast that with the Packers, who rank fourth and sixth in these categories.

The Eagles offense, potent as it is, tends to catch fire later in the game, ranking in the top five in second-half points. Meanwhile, Philly's EPA per drive during the initial two drives ranks among the bottom three, further underscoring their difficulty in starting fast.

Both teams are heavy on running the ball, which could lead to fewer possessions. This means every scoring opportunity becomes even more valuable. I'd also trust Packers head coach Matt LaFleur is expected to have a well-scripted start, which could exploit the Eagles' early first-half struggles.

Also, Jalen Hurts, coming back from a concussion and three-week absence, might come back a little rusty. While the Eagles offense has all the prerequisites to shine, defenses thrive on creating turnovers, and Green Bay's defense has a penchant for capitalizing on errant plays from opposing quarterbacks.

The Eagles might well take over the game in the second half dominate late. Their capacity to control the second half and methodically extinguish any hope with time-draining drives through Saquon Barkley can do that to teams. For the opening half at least, Green Bay is well-positioned to make the most of Philadelphia’s hesitance out of the blocks.

My Pick: Packers 1H +3 (-115)


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About the Author
Stuckey is a senior betting analyst at Action Network, focusing on college football, college basketball, and the NFL. He hosts The Action Network Podcast and co-hosts the Big Bets on Campus podcast with Collin Wilson and Brett McMurphy. Stuckey was Action Network’s first content hire in 2017, helping launch their award-winning app, and continues to work closely with their development team. A CFA Charterholder, Stuckey has been betting since 2003 and has a background as a derivatives analyst in the financial industry. He holds an MBA from George Washington University.

Follow Stuckey @Stuckey2 on Twitter/X.

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