We have you covered with seven NFL player prop picks for Week 13 for Sunday afternoon's slate of games.
Our staff has 2 props for the same star playmaker in Texans vs. Jaguars, as well as an anytime touchdown scorer for an old AFC rivalry 1 p.m. ET.
Then, for the late slate, we have an over on each side of Rams vs. Saints and a prop backing the clear RB1 in Carolina for Panthers vs. Buccaneers
Let's dig into our NFL props for this week's Sunday slate.
NFL Picks: Player Props
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Texans vs. Jaguars
Nico Collins Anytime TD Scorer (+125)
The Texans eased Nico Collins into the offense in his first game back from injury, but he played 79% of snaps last week and should be back to his normal workload here.
Collins has been one of the best receivers in the league this season and has scored in four of the seven games he's played. Here, he gets a matchup against a Jaguars defense that's one of the worst in the NFL and ranks dead last in pass DVOA.
Collins is always a threat to score a long TD at any point in the game and is still targeted heavily in the red zone. While Mixon is likely going to steal some red-zone equity, this line is far too high for Collins given how good he's been this season.
Nico Collins Over 81.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
By Sam Farley
It's been two weeks since Collins returned from injury. He caught four catches for 54 against the Cowboys upon his return before torching the NFL's best pass defense (the Titans) for 92 yards and a touchdown last week.
Last week, he saw a return to elite volume with nine targets and now faces the NFL's worst pass defense. Jacksonville has given up an average of 278.3 yards through the air each game.
Collins is in prime position to be able to explode.
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Colts vs. Patriots
Anthony Richardson Anytime TD Scorer (+180)
Anthony Richardson is coming off a tough week, but the loss to the Lions wasn't entirely his fault. He had multiple long completions taken away by penalties and multiple dropped passes. He didn't look nearly as bad as his stats would suggest, and the Colts are running the offense a lot more suited to his play style with RPOs and designed runs.
Richardson has at least 10 rushing attempts in each of the Colts' last two games and two rushing touchdowns in that span. He gets a great matchup here against a Patriots defense that is one of the worst defenses in the league.
The Colts should put up points in this spot, and I have Richardson at around a 45% chance to score in this spot making this a great +EV bet.
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Rams vs. Saints
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
By Kyle Murray
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has burst onto the scene for this Saints team the last couple of games with a catch of at least 67 yards in back-to-back games.
It's clear that being the deep option for Derek Carr in New Orleans is a strong role. Now, Valdes-Scantling is stabilizing his position in this offense as his routes run rate went up to 87% last week.
This is a top-notch matchup, as well, as the Rams have allowed the second-most yards per reception in the NFL.
Matthew Stafford Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-128)
By Sam Farley
These odds are way off what they should be.
It's unfair to count Matthew Stafford's performances earlier in the season given the injuries to Puka Nacua (injured in Week 1) and Cooper Kupp (injured in Week 2). Since they both returned five games ago, we've seen Stafford throw 12 touchdowns and go over this line on passing touchdowns in four of those games.
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Buccaneers vs. Panthers
Chuba Hubbard Over 65.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
By Kyle Murray
Last week, Chuba Hubbard accounted for 89% of the Panthers' carries while playing 88% of snaps despite rookie RB Jonathon Brooks making his debut.
The Panthers are being careful with Brooks, but it's also evident they trust Hubbard, who got a new contract during the season.
This is also a solid matchup since the Bucs have allowed the eighth-most yards per carry to opposing running backs this season.
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