We're coming off a 3-for-3 night on Thursday Night Football, capped off by a disgusting catch from Garrett Wilson. That sick one-hander hit the over for his longest reception, completing the perfect card.
Tonight's NFL matchup would've been more exciting early in the season. Unfortunately, both sides have been crushed by injuries to skill position players. Baker Mayfield has been able to keep the Bucs competitive, so hopefully they can keep pace tonight. Here are my NFL PrizePicks plays for Monday Night Football.
NFL PrizePicks: Monday Night Football
Cade Otton
More Than 12.5 Fantasy Score
Otton has been the clear beneficiary with Chris Godwin and Mike Evans sidelined. He's earned 10 targets in back-to-back games. Otton piled up a career-high 100 receiving yards in Week 7, a game that Evans left early. He secured two touchdowns in Week 8 without both Evans and Godwin.
Tight ends have destroyed Kansas City this season. They've allowed the second-most targets, the most receptions and the most yards per game to the position. Only Carolina has allowed more fantasy points per game to tight ends.
Tampa Bay is seventh in neutral pass rate. They're big underdogs tonight, so the passing volume should be there. Kansas City also has one of the best run defenses in football, so the Bucs would be wise to attack through the air.
DeAndre Hopkins
Less Than 4 Receptions
Hopkins didn't have much of an impact in his Kansas City debut, reeling in two catches on three targets for 29 yards. He played just 32% of the snaps and ran 14 routes. Hopkins' 33.3% route rate was sixth on the team. His target share was third, which is nice, until you see it was a measly 7.9%. Patrick Mahomes targeted 10 different receivers in the win over Las Vegas.
Hopkins might carve out a larger role in this offense, but it's a limited passing attack. The Chiefs rank bottom 10 in pass rate. After being top five in pass attempts per game in each of the last four seasons, Kansas City ranks 15th this year.
Tampa Bay is certainly susceptible through the air. I wouldn't be surprised to see Hopkins come up with a long catch and/or a touchdown. It's just hard to see the volume being there.
Rachaad White
Less Than 29.5 Rushing Yards
Bucky Irving has taken over as the lead rusher for Tampa Bay. White still has a fruitful role in the passing game, but he's been surpassed by the rookie on the ground. Irving out-carried White for the second time this season in Week 8. His 41% rushing share was his highest since Week 3, which was a blowout loss.
Kansas City is the worst matchup in the league for running backs. They've allowed just 50.4 yards per game on 2.8 yards per carry to the position. It helps that they've seen the fewest carries per game. Teams are frequently playing from behind against the Chiefs, which leads to more passing.
White is on the wrong side of a backfield platoon in an extremely challenging matchup. He'll likely need 10 carries to get there, and I don't expect him to reach that threshold.
