We continue NFL Wild Card Weekend with three games on Sunday, starting with Broncos vs. Bills at 1 p.m. ET, Packers vs. Eagles at 4.30 p.m. ET, and then Bucs vs. Commanders at 8 p.m. ET.
While we'll have picks for all three games, you could build smaller plays centered around just one or two contests.
Here are my NFL PrizePicks plays for Wild Card Sunday.
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QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their slip at PrizePicks.
NFL PrizePicks — Wild Card Sunday
Josh Allen MORE Than 22.5 Fantasy Points
Josh Allen has been a remarkably consistent fantasy producer all season, with at least 20 points in 10 of his last 11 games. Just two of those finished at less than 22.5 points, meaning he's gone above this mark in eight of the previous 11 games he's played.
It's hard to see that changing in the playoffs, as Buffalo should lean heavily on its star quarterback. The game script (8.5 points favor Buffalo) could limit his passing volume, but if Buffalo gets out to a big lead, it's probably because Allen found the end zone on multiple occasions.
I prefer targeting his fantasy points line over his stats due to the diversity of scoring methods Allen has used. On the season, he has 28 passing touchdowns and 12 on the ground, so it's hard to pin down exactly how he'll score in any game.
With the Bills implied for 28 points, though, it's likely he gets it done somewhere.
Dontayvion Wicks LESS than 3.5 Receptions
Green Bay has been a bottom-five team regarding pass rate over expectation (PROE) this season.
On top of that, the Packers have a deep group of wide receivers — Five players (including tight end Tucker Kraft) have at least a 10% target share, with nobody topping 15.3%.
That makes it hard for any one player to stand out. Our projections have Wicks for just 2.8 catches this week, and we're expecting most of the Packers' passing attack to stay LESS than their PrizePick marks.
The likeliest outcome is that one of their top three wide receivers has a big day and beats their line while the rest of the group sees just a couple of catches each.
I'll take my chances that it won't be Wicks.
Austin Ekeler MORE than 20.5 Rushing Yards
Washington prefers Ekeler as the lead back over Brian Robinson when both are healthy.
Ekeler has been in on more than 50% of snaps in the last four games he's been active for, which is typically a leading indicator for carries (depending on the game script).
I expect the Commanders to have some success offensively, as they're only slight underdogs against the Bucs. Tampa is fairly stingy against the run, but this is also a very low number if Ekeler sees 7-9 carries in a competitive game.
Our projections have him rushing for 30 yards.
Chase McLaughlin MORE than 1.5 Field Goals Made
With Tampa implied for around 27 points, there should be plenty of scoring to go around.
That should trickle down to kicker Chase McLaughlin, who we have projected for about 1.8 field goals on Sunday night.
It helps that this is expected to be a relatively close game. Tight games leave more opportunities for late-game field goals (and potentially overtime), which also gives him a better chance to kick at least two.
