Mason Crosby
Under 1.5 Field Goals Made (-111, Caesars)
There are some slight weather concerns in Chicago on Sunday, with 13-mph winds and cold temperatures in the forecast. The Bears' offense has scored 29.6 points per game over its last five with Justin Fields at quarterback, meaning the Packers will likely need touchdowns to keep pace.
In those same five games, the Bears have allowed just four field goal attempts total, with opponents only reaching two attempts once in those five.
The Bears also allow the second-fewest players per game, so there will be fewer opportunities for Green Bay field goals. And the Bears' defense is so inefficient, when scoring opportunities arise it more often than not results in a touchdown. In the last five games Fields started, opponents have had 24 kicking opportunities — five field goals against 19 extra points.
I project this under to hit 56.5% of the time and would bet it to -115.
Matthew Wright
Under 2.5 Extra Points Made (-175, BetMGM)
The Steelers have attempted three or more extra points just once in Kenny Pickett's seven games as the starting quarterback.
Similarly, the Falcons have allowed three or more extra point attempts just four times in 12 games this season.
The Steelers go for two after a touchdown at a higher rate than the league average.
I don't mind laying the juice on this prop, as I project Wright to go under 67.3% of the time, which equates to -205 odds.
Jake Elliott
Under 1.5 Field Goals Made (-110, DraftKings)
The Eagles pass on field goal attempts on fourth down at the highest rate in the NFL, per my expected FG model. That results in Elliott attempting very few field goals, and he's only attempted two or more in three of his last 10 games.
The Titans have also only allowed two or more field goal attempts in four of their 11 games this season.
I have Elliott projected to go under this number 58.6% of the time, and I would bet this to -125.
