The New Orleans Saints (5-9) and Green Bay Packers (10-4) will close NFL Week 16 on Monday Night Football from Lambeau Field. MNF will be broadcast live on ESPN and ABC, with additional viewing options that include YouTube TV, NFL+ and Fubo.
The Packers are 14-point favorites on the spread over the Saints (Packers -14) with the game total set at 42 points. The Packers are -1100 moneyline favorites and the shorthanded Saints are +700 underdogs.
Let’s get into our NFL Monday Night Football predictions and Saints vs. Packers picks.
Saints vs. Packers Predictions
- Against the Spread: Packers -14 (-110)
- Over/Under Pick: Over 42 (-110)
- Player Props: Tucker Kraft Under 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Saints vs. Packers Odds
- Spread: Saints +14 (-110), Packers -14 (-110)
- Over/Under: 42.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Moneyline: Saints +700, Packers -1100
Odds via bet365 as of Sunday at 8:28 p.m. ET. Get the latest NFL odds here.
Saints vs. Packers Parlay
You can parlay our 3 picks at DraftKings for a +550 SGP on Monday night.
- Packers -14 (-110)
- Over 42 (-112)
- Tucker Kraft Under 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Saints vs. Packers Parlay Odds: +550
Saints vs. Packers Against the Spread Prediction
By John LanFranca
Since their Week 10 bye week, the Packers offense has been one of the most efficient in the NFL — it seems like they're hitting their stride late in the season once again.
The identity of the current version of the Packers is much more ground-based, but it has also allowed Jordan Love to lead the league in yards per attempt over his last five games since the bye. Love's passer rated has exceeded 100 in all five of those contests.
This approach for Green Bay matches up extremely well against a Saints defense that struggles to win the line of scrimmage.
New Orleans is 31st in adjusted line yards per rush, meaning it allows a push from opposing offensive lines that consistently creates running lanes. The Saints also rarely cause havoc in the backfield, stuffing runs at or behind the line of scrimmage at a 13% clip, the third-lowest mark in the league.
The offense hasn't been the only improvement for the Packers since their bye week. Their rush defense has ranked top five in both yards per carry against and success rate over that span.
Spencer Rattler will shoulder the entire responsibility for moving the chains against a surging Green Bay defense, and he'll have to do it without the services of Alvin Kamara.
Green Bay will dismantle the Saints on Monday night in Lambeau.
Pick: Packers -14 (-110); Bet to -15
Saints vs. Packers Over/Under Pick
By Billy Ward
I've been impressed enough by the Packers offense in recent weeks that I'm willing to pull the trigger on the over, despite the sad state of affairs with New Orleans.
We'll start with Green Bay. The Packers have scored at least 30 points in four straight games, with three of those coming against top-11 defenses by DVOA. On Monday, they face a Saints team that comes into the week ranked 20th, so this is a noticeable step down.
Green Bay is also projecting for one of the best offensive line matchups of the week, so it should be able to move the ball on the ground or through the air.
Thirty or so points feels like a safe target for Green Bay even without the Saints pushing them, meaning we'd only need a pair of touchdowns from New Orleans to go over the total.
While the Saints are without Derek Carr, Taysom Hill, Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave, 12 or 13 points from them still isn't a big ask — especially against a Green Bay defense that's missing a starting safety (Javon Bullard) and linebacker (Quay Walker), with another safety (Evan Williams and cornerback (Jaire Alexander) questionable.
I'm assuming the market is also adjusting for this game being played at Lambeau Field in December, but the weather isn't a huge concern. It's forecasted to be fairly mild, with NFL Weather Edge showing effectively no impact on scoring.
Pick: Over 42 (-110)
Saints vs. Packers Player Props
By Grant Neiffer
Kraft has been great this season, but this isn't really the game script in which the Packers will be passing a lot.
The spread is massive, sitting at 14 points, and that might be generous.
The weather conditions won't be terrible, but it will be cold with light winds, which is slightly better for running the ball.
I don't see many ways Kraft gets a lot of volume, and so really we're just betting against a long reception. I have Kraft at a 58% chance to hit the under at this number, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Tucker Kraft Under 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115); Bet to Under 32.5
