And just like that, one of the four destinations on Russell Wilson's wishlist is off the table.
The Cowboys agreed to a four-year, $160 million deal with Dak Prescott on Monday. Per ESPN's Adam Schefter, the deal includes a no-trade clause. That means the list of teams Wilson would consider a trade to is down to the Saints, Raiders and Bears.
Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, estimates that Prescott's deal increases Wilson's odds of staying in Seattle from 80% to 90%.
FanDuel listed the Cowboys at +340 to acquire Wilson as of Feb. 25, the same day his four-team wishlist was reported.
As of 7:20 p.m. ET on Monday — approximately 30 minutes after Schefter reported Prescott's extension — DraftKings still had the Cowboys listed at +1400 to be the team Wilson takes his next snap for, but Prescott's no-trade clause effectively rules the Cowboys out.
The Seahawks are favored to be the team Wilson takes his first snap for in 2021 at -500, giving him an 83.3% implied probability of staying in Seattle (calculate implied probabilities using our Betting Odds Calculator).
The Bears are next on the oddsboard at +300 (25%) followed by the Jets at +700 (12.5%), Raiders at +1000 (9.1%) and Saints at +1200 (7.7%). Of course, only three of those four teams are actually on Wilson's reported list of options (and it's not the Jets).
As for how the Prescott deal impacts the Cowboys' futures, their Super Bowl odds remain unchanged at +2800 about a half hour after the news broke.
